Sport Picks

Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5

CSM Alexandria

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CS U Craiova 2 play CSM Alexandria in the Liga 3 - Seria 5. It looks like a close match. Recently, CS U Craiova 2 averaged 1.79 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. CSM Alexandria averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, CS U Craiova 2 won 1, CSM Alexandria won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 29, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for CS U Craiova 2 and 1.00 for CSM Alexandria. This points to a CS U Craiova 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

CS U Craiova 2

21%

Draws

35%

CSM Alexandria

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: CS U Craiova 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

CS U Craiova 2 picked up more points recently compared to CSM Alexandria.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

CS U Craiova 2 Clean Sheet 23%

CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CS U Craiova 2	CSM Alexandria
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	17	12
Draws	9	7
Losses	2	9
Goals Scored	1.79	1.61
Goals Conceded	0.96	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5

CS U Craiova 2 vs CSM Alexandria

Possession: 40% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

3:2

Sep 19, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5

CSM Alexandria vs CS U Craiova 2

Possession: 56% - 60% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Nov 13, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 6

CSM Alexandria vs CS U Craiova 2

Possession: 48% - 49% Cards: 0 - 4

3:0

Sep 9, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 6

CS U Craiova 2 vs CSM Alexandria

Possession: 45% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Nov 5, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 6

CS U Craiova 2 vs CSM Alexandria

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CS U Craiova 2 44 / 100

CSM Alexandria 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CS U Craiova 2 CSM Alexandria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CS U Craiova 2 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CS U Craiova 2 attacking → ← attacking CSM Alexandria

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CS U Craiova 2 scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

CSM Alexandria let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

CS U Craiova 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CSM Alexandria lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 43

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CS U Craiova 2	20	15	4	1	37:16	49
2	Cetatea Turnu Magurele	20	12	7	1	41:19	43
3	Academica Bals	20	12	5	3	35:18	41
4	LPS HD Clinceni	20	12	3	5	44:19	39
5	CSM Alexandria	20	10	6	4	35:19	36
6	Curtisoara	20	8	4	8	28:31	28
7	Progresul Spartac	20	8	2	10	33:33	26
8	SCM Dunarea Giurgiu	20	5	2	13	19:38	17
9	Adunatii-Copaceni	20	4	1	15	16:36	13
10	CSO Filiasi	20	3	2	15	15:42	11
11	Nanov	20	2	2	16	13:45	8
12	FC U Craiova	0	0	0	0	0:0	-106