Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CS Uruguay vs Cariari Pococi

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Matthews D.

AI Match Summary

Cariari Pococi in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cariari Pococi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
CS Uruguay
30%
Draws
35%
Cariari Pococi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CS Uruguay lately — more wins on the board than Cariari Pococi.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Cariari Pococi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
CS Uruguay Clean Sheet 13%
Cariari Pococi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CS Uruguay Cariari Pococi
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Cariari Pococi
0:1
Mar 29, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Cariari Pococi
1:0
Mar 4, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs CS Uruguay
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs CS Uruguay
6:1
Sep 18, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Cariari Pococi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CS Uruguay Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Cariari Pococi Compare

Top Goalscorer Matthews D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CS Uruguay 19 / 100
Cariari Pococi 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CS Uruguay Cariari Pococi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cariari Pococi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cariari Pococi conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Attacking prowess: CS Uruguay scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: CS Uruguay stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CS Uruguay VS Cariari Pococi
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CS Uruguay

(Home)
18 Sept
Carmelita
6 : 0
CS Uruguay
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Aserri
06 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 1
CS Uruguay
29 Aug
CS Uruguay
1 : 0
FC Moravia
23 Aug
Santa Ana
3 : 1
CS Uruguay
Page 1 of 6

Cariari Pococi

(Away)
24 Sept
Cariari Pococi
2 : 1
Pitbulls
22 Sept
Pitbulls
1 : 0
Cariari Pococi
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
Carmelita
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1
Cariari Pococi
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 7 4 3 0 11:4 15
2 Quepos FC 7 4 1 2 12:6 13
3 Grecia 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
4 AD Sarchi 7 3 2 2 8:10 11
5 AD Rosario 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
6 Santa Cruz 7 2 0 5 10:15 6
7 Cofutpa 7 0 1 6 4:13 1
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pitbulls 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
2 Santa Ana 7 5 0 2 11:8 15
3 Aserri 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
4 Cariari Pococi 7 3 3 1 9:7 12
5 Carmelita 8 2 3 3 15:11 9
6 FC Moravia 8 2 1 5 11:10 7
7 CS Uruguay 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
8 Guadalupe 8 1 2 5 8:15 5
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)