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CS Uruguay vs Carmelita

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay Logo

CS Uruguay

2 - 2
FT
Carmelita Logo

Carmelita

Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
54' Event
86' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CS Uruguay
39%
Draws
30%
Carmelita
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CS Uruguay lately — more wins on the board than Carmelita.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
CS Uruguay Clean Sheet 22%
Carmelita Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CS Uruguay Carmelita
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 12
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Carmelita
2:2
Mar 21, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Carmelita
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs CS Uruguay
0:1
Oct 24, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs CS Uruguay
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Carmelita
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CS Uruguay 32 / 100
Carmelita 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CS Uruguay Carmelita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CS Uruguay scored in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Carmelita has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: CS Uruguay stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CS Uruguay VS Carmelita
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CS Uruguay

(Home)
02 Aug
CS Uruguay
2 : 2
Carmelita
26 Apr
Quepos FC
0 : 0
CS Uruguay
19 Apr
CS Uruguay
2 : 5
Quepos FC
07 Apr
Pitbulls
3 : 1
CS Uruguay
29 Mar
CS Uruguay
1 : 0
Cariari Pococi
Page 1 of 6

Carmelita

(Away)
02 Aug
CS Uruguay
2 : 2
Carmelita
31 Mar
Aserri
0 : 0
Carmelita
25 Mar
Carmelita
1 : 1
FC Moravia
21 Mar
CS Uruguay
3 : 0
Carmelita
16 Mar
Carmelita
1 : 0
Pitbulls
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quepos FC 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 AD Sarchi 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 ADR Jicaral 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Grecia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Team will be confirmed 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Cofutpa 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
7 AD Rosario 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
8 Santa Cruz 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guadalupe 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Santa Ana 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Carmelita 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
4 CS Uruguay 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
5 Cariari Pococi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Pitbulls 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 FC Moravia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Aserri 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)