Sport Picks
CS Uruguay vs Carmelita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Costa Rica
Liga de Ascenso 
Match Events
46'
46'
Castillo A.
55'
55'
Borbon F.
86'
86'
Rodriguez F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carmelita
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to CS Uruguay lately — more wins on the board than Carmelita.
- Model gives Carmelita a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
CS Uruguay Clean Sheet 10%
Carmelita Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CS Uruguay | Carmelita |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 26 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs CS Uruguay
6:0
Aug 2, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Carmelita
2:2
Mar 21, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Carmelita
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs CS Uruguay
0:1
Oct 24, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs CS Uruguay
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CS Uruguay Compare
Top Goalscorer Castillo A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Borbon F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Carmelita Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mena Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CS Uruguay 10 / 100
Carmelita 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CS Uruguay Carmelita
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carmelita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: CS Uruguay scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.
Carmelita has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.
Recent resilience: CS Uruguay stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CS Uruguay VS Carmelita
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
CS Uruguay
(Home) 03 Oct
CS Uruguay
2 : 2 Pitbulls
29 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1 CS Uruguay
18 Sept
Carmelita
6 : 0 CS Uruguay
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1 Aserri
06 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 1 CS Uruguay
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
CS Uruguay
2 : 2 Pitbulls
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1 Aserri
29 Aug
CS Uruguay
1 : 0 FC Moravia
08 Aug
CS Uruguay
0 : 1 Cariari Pococi
02 Aug
CS Uruguay
2 : 2 Carmelita
Page 1 of 3
Carmelita
(Away) 02 Oct
FC Moravia
0 : 3 Carmelita
26 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 0 Santa Ana
18 Sept
Carmelita
6 : 0 CS Uruguay
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1 Carmelita
07 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 2 Pitbulls
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
FC Moravia
0 : 3 Carmelita
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1 Carmelita
25 Aug
Guadalupe
0 : 1 Carmelita
02 Aug
CS Uruguay
2 : 2 Carmelita
31 Mar
Aserri
0 : 0 Carmelita
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADR Jicaral | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Quepos FC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Grecia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 14 |
| 4 | AD Rosario | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | AD Sarchi | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11:19 | 6 |
| 7 | Cofutpa | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:17 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Ana | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 2 | Pitbulls | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:13 | 19 |
| 3 | Carmelita | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Aserri | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 5 | Cariari Pococi | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:11 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Moravia | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Guadalupe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | 9 |
| 8 | CS Uruguay | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)
