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CS Uruguay vs Guadalupe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CS Uruguay host Guadalupe in the Liga de Ascenso. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: CS Uruguay at 1.33 goals for, 1.78 against; Guadalupe at 0.97 for, 1.93 against. Past meetings favor Guadalupe slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.44) back CS Uruguay to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
CS Uruguay
30%
Draws
54%
Guadalupe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guadalupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • CS Uruguay have won more games recently than Guadalupe.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Guadalupe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Guadalupe here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CS Uruguay Clean Sheet 16%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CS Uruguay Guadalupe
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.33 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs CS Uruguay
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Guadalupe
1:3
Feb 25, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs CS Uruguay
2:1
Oct 29, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs CS Uruguay
3:0
Sep 8, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Guadalupe
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CS Uruguay 10 / 100
Guadalupe 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CS Uruguay Guadalupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalupe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalupe let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

CS Uruguay scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

CS Uruguay went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CS Uruguay VS Guadalupe
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CS Uruguay

(Home)
10 Oct
CS Uruguay
0 : 5
Santa Ana
03 Oct
CS Uruguay
2 : 2
Pitbulls
29 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
CS Uruguay
18 Sept
Carmelita
6 : 0
CS Uruguay
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Aserri
Page 1 of 6

Guadalupe

(Away)
10 Oct
Carmelita
0 : 2
Guadalupe
04 Oct
Aserri
2 : 3
Guadalupe
27 Sept
Guadalupe
2 : 2
Pitbulls
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
13 Sept
Santa Ana
2 : 1
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 10 7 3 0 18:5 24
2 Quepos FC 10 6 1 3 15:8 19
3 Grecia 9 4 3 2 11:8 15
4 AD Rosario 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
5 AD Sarchi 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
6 Santa Cruz 10 2 0 8 11:22 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 11 8 0 3 19:10 24
2 Pitbulls 11 5 5 1 20:15 20
3 Cariari Pococi 11 4 4 3 12:11 16
4 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
5 Aserri 11 4 3 4 12:13 15
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 11 3 1 7 12:14 10
8 CS Uruguay 11 2 3 6 9:23 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)