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Stadium Background

CSA vs CRB

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceió
0 - 2
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Matheus Albino
19'
Wellerson R.
22' Event
Douglas Baggio
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CSA
20%
Draws
40%
CRB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Very High Confidence
  • CRB haven't matched CSA's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on CSA taking it.
  • CSA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CRB, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
CSA Clean Sheet 68%
CRB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSA CRB
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 10
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Copa Alagoas
CRB vs CSA
1:3
Feb 21, 2026 Alagoano
CSA vs CRB
0:2
Feb 18, 2026 Alagoano
CRB vs CSA
2:0
Jan 24, 2026 Alagoano
CSA vs CRB
1:1
Feb 5, 2025 Copa Alagoas
CSA vs CRB
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSA Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

CRB Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Barata
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSA 95 / 100
CRB 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSA CRB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSA's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

CRB let in goals in 66% of their last 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CSA stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSA VS CRB
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CSA

(Home)
26 Jul
CSA
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
19 Jul
Sao Luiz
0 : 0
CSA
13 Jul
CSA
4 : 0
Betim FC
04 Jul
Betim FC
1 : 0
CSA
27 Jun
CSA
2 : 0
Lagarto
Page 1 of 6

CRB

(Away)
27 Jul
CRB
2 : 0
Vila Nova FC
22 Jul
Ceara
0 : 1
CRB
16 Jul
CRB
2 : 1
Nautico
12 Jul
CRB
2 : 2
Goias
04 Jul
Londrina
5 : 0
CRB
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
ASA 3
Murici 0
CSA 0
CRB 4
Final
ASA 1
CRB 4