Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSA vs Santa Rita

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Alagoano 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Everton Heleno
57' Event
Souza L.
Own Goal
88' Event
Everton Heleno

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Alagoano 2017 game between CSA and Santa Rita finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
CSA
15%
Draws
36%
Santa Rita
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • CSA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CSA are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato Alagoano 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CSA Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Rita Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSA Santa Rita
Matches Played 46 27
Wins 25 5
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.78 0.85
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 0.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2018 Alagoano
Santa Rita vs CSA
2:2
Apr 16, 2017 Alagoano
CSA vs Santa Rita
2:1
Apr 13, 2016 Alagoano
Santa Rita vs CSA
2:0
Mar 16, 2016 Alagoano
CSA vs Santa Rita
3:0
Feb 14, 2016 Alagoano
Santa Rita vs CSA
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Heleno
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Santa Rita Compare

Avg xG / game 0.42
Avg xA / game 0.26

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSA 59 / 100
Santa Rita 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSA Santa Rita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSA's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 46 recent games.

Defensive concern: Santa Rita conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Santa Rita has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSA VS Santa Rita
2.63 Goals Scored 0.17
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 17%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

CSA

(Home)
03 Sept
CSA
0 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
CSA
15 Aug
CSA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
08 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
CSA
26 Jul
CSA
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 10

Santa Rita

(Away)
19 Sept
Cruzeiro-PB
0 : 1
Santa Rita
16 Sept
Auto Esporte
2 : 0
Santa Rita
13 Sept
Santa Rita
0 : 6
Desportiva Guarabira
27 May
Itabaiana
2 : 1
Santa Rita
20 May
Santa Rita
0 : 5
Treze PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CRB 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 ASA 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
3 CSA 5 2 2 1 4:2 8
4 Murici 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
5 Santa Rita 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
6 Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Campeonato Alagoano 2017 (Play Offs)