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CSA vs SC Penedense

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceió
CSA Logo

CSA

2 - 0
FT
SC Penedense Logo

SC Penedense

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Ciel
33'
Edinho Correa
41' Event
Ciel
Penalty Missed
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CSA in this Alagoano matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
CSA
20%
Draws
29%
SC Penedense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Penedense haven't matched CSA's recent run of results.
  • CSA are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
CSA Clean Sheet 68%
SC Penedense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSA SC Penedense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.93 0.4
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Alagoano
CSA vs SC Penedense
2:0
Feb 19, 2025 Copa Alagoas
CSA vs SC Penedense
1:3
Feb 8, 2025 Alagoano
SC Penedense vs CSA
2:0
Apr 3, 2024 Copa Alagoas
SC Penedense vs CSA
0:1
Mar 31, 2024 Copa Alagoas
CSA vs SC Penedense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marlon Lopes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

SC Penedense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSA 77 / 100
SC Penedense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSA SC Penedense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSA scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

SC Penedense let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

CSA has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CSA VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSA

(Home)
15 Aug
CSA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
08 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
CSA
26 Jul
CSA
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
19 Jul
Sao Luiz
0 : 0
CSA
13 Jul
CSA
4 : 0
Betim FC
Page 1 of 6

SC Penedense

(Away)
18 Mar
SC Penedense
2 : 2
Zumbi
02 Mar
SC Penedense
0 : 1
ASA
25 Feb
Londrina
1 : 0
SC Penedense
21 Feb
Miguelense
0 : 1
SC Penedense
07 Feb
ASA
2 : 0
SC Penedense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 7 5 2 0 13:3 17
2 CSA 7 5 2 0 10:1 17
3 CRB 7 4 1 2 8:8 13
4 Murici 7 3 2 2 8:5 11
5 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 7 2 0 5 6:12 6
6 Coruripe 7 1 2 4 5:11 5
7 SC Penedense 7 1 2 4 2:8 5
8 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 7 1 1 5 6:10 4
Promotion - Alagoano (Play Offs)