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CSKA 1948 Sofia III vs Balkan Botevgrad Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2024/2025 game between CSKA 1948 Sofia III and Balkan Botevgrad finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA 1948 Sofia III.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
20%
Draws
51%
Balkan Botevgrad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Balkan Botevgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Balkan Botevgrad come out ahead of CSKA 1948 Sofia III on wins alone.
  • Model gives Balkan Botevgrad a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
CSKA 1948 Sofia III Clean Sheet 16%
Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA 1948 Sofia III Balkan Botevgrad
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Third League - South-West
CSKA 1948 Sofia III vs Balkan Botevgrad
4:0
Aug 3, 2024 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs CSKA 1948 Sofia III
4:3
May 11, 2024 Third League - South-West
CSKA 1948 Sofia III vs Balkan Botevgrad
3:1
Oct 27, 2023 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs CSKA 1948 Sofia III
1:1
Nov 6, 2022 Third League - South-West
CSKA 1948 Sofia III vs Balkan Botevgrad
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA 1948 Sofia III 23 / 100
Balkan Botevgrad 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA 1948 Sofia III Balkan Botevgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balkan Botevgrad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: CSKA 1948 Sofia III scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Balkan Botevgrad has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: CSKA 1948 Sofia III remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Balkan Botevgrad
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA 1948 Sofia III

(Home)
04 Jun
Septemvri Sofia 2
5 : 1
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
31 May
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
2 : 4
Levski Sofia II
25 May
Pirin Blagoevgrad 2
1 : 1
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
17 May
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
2 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
14 May
CSKA Sofia III
3 : 1
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
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Balkan Botevgrad

(Away)
03 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
0 : 3
Fratria
26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1
Balkan Botevgrad
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
05 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0
Levski Sofia II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 36 26 5 5 81:34 83
2 Kyustendil 36 24 4 8 98:46 76
3 Oborishte Panagyurishte 36 19 10 7 63:33 67
4 Rilski Sportist 36 18 8 10 68:51 62
5 Bansko 36 15 11 10 45:31 56
6 Balkan Botevgrad 36 15 9 12 60:56 54
7 Pirin Razlog 36 15 8 13 57:47 53
8 Septemvri Simitli 36 16 5 15 47:46 53
9 Bistritsa 36 15 7 14 52:51 52
10 Septemvri Sofia 2 36 15 7 14 46:48 52
11 Levski Sofia II 36 14 6 16 39:43 48
12 Gotse Delchev 36 12 11 13 43:57 47
13 CSKA Sofia III 36 11 13 12 50:51 46
14 Botev Ihtiman 36 11 12 13 40:47 45
15 Slivnishki Geroy 36 10 12 14 44:45 42
16 Slavia Sofia 2 36 9 11 16 41:58 38
17 CSKA 1948 Sofia III 36 7 9 20 45:70 30
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 2 36 5 10 21 32:64 25
19 Granit Vladaya 36 2 8 26 34:107 11
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