Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Bistritsa Stadium, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Nedyalkov A.
46'
Sub
Rusev G. In: Sobrero B.
Out: Rusev G.
46'
Sub
Franco E. In: Maciel F.
Out: Franco E.

AI Match Summary

CSKA 1948 Sofia in this efbet League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSKA 1948 Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
20%
Draws
44%
Ludogorets
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ludogorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSKA 1948 Sofia lately — more wins on the board than Ludogorets.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular efbet League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CSKA 1948 Sofia Clean Sheet 19%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA 1948 Sofia Ludogorets
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.55 1.44
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
3:0
Oct 27, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets
5:4
Apr 7, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA 1948 Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Dvali L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ludogorets Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA 1948 Sofia 31 / 100
Ludogorets 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA 1948 Sofia Ludogorets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA 1948 Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: CSKA 1948 Sofia scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: CSKA 1948 Sofia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ludogorets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA 1948 Sofia VS Ludogorets
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA 1948 Sofia

(Home)
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
14 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
4 : 1
Cherno More
Page 1 of 6

Ludogorets

(Away)
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Ludogorets
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
22 Aug
Ludogorets
1 : 1
Slavia Sofia
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
09 Aug
Cherno More
2 : 3
Ludogorets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 36 25 6 5 71:25 81
2 CSKA 1948 Sofia 36 20 7 9 54:35 67
3 Ludogorets 36 19 10 7 61:25 67
4 CSKA Sofia 36 18 9 9 47:30 63
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)