Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Bistritsa Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Nedyalkov A.
46'
Sub
Rusev G. In: Sobrero B.
Out: Rusev G.
46'
Sub
Franco E. In: Maciel F.
Out: Franco E.

AI Match Summary

CSKA 1948 Sofia in this efbet League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSKA 1948 Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
40%
Draws
29%
Ludogorets
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ludogorets lately — more wins on the board than CSKA 1948 Sofia.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular efbet League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
CSKA 1948 Sofia Clean Sheet 19%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA 1948 Sofia Ludogorets
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
3:0
Oct 27, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets
5:4
Apr 7, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA 1948 Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Dvali L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ludogorets Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA 1948 Sofia 32 / 100
Ludogorets 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA 1948 Sofia Ludogorets

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: CSKA 1948 Sofia scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: CSKA 1948 Sofia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Ludogorets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA 1948 Sofia VS Ludogorets
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levski Sofia36256571:2581
2CSKA 1948 Sofia36207954:3567
3Ludogorets361910761:2567
4CSKA Sofia36189947:3063