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CSKA Almaty vs Gefest Karagandy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2014
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AI Match Summary

The First Division 2014 game between CSKA Almaty and Gefest Karagandy finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Almaty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
CSKA Almaty
20%
Draws
0%
Gefest Karagandy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • CSKA Almaty carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CSKA Almaty's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular First Division 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
CSKA Almaty Clean Sheet 19%
Gefest Karagandy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Almaty Gefest Karagandy
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.22 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.72 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2014 First League
CSKA Almaty vs Gefest Karagandy
3:0
May 9, 2014 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs CSKA Almaty
1:0
Oct 23, 2013 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs CSKA Almaty
3:1
Apr 3, 2013 First League
CSKA Almaty vs Gefest Karagandy
0:1
Sep 20, 2011 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs CSKA Almaty
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Almaty 85 / 100
Gefest Karagandy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Almaty Gefest Karagandy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Almaty Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gefest Karagandy conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Gefest Karagandy lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: CSKA Almaty scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Almaty VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Almaty

(Home)
22 Mar
CSKA Almaty
2 : 2
FC Ruzaevka
19 Mar
Maqtaaral
1 : 1
CSKA Almaty
24 Oct
FK Kyran
2 : 0
CSKA Almaty
17 Oct
CSKA Almaty
3 : 2
Kaspij Aktau
11 Oct
Bayterek Astana
0 : 2
CSKA Almaty
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Gefest Karagandy

(Away)
08 Nov
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Bayterek Astana
02 Nov
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0
Gefest Karagandy
25 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Maqtaaral
19 Oct
FK Kyran
3 : 0
Gefest Karagandy
11 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Akzhayik Uralsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 28 21 1 6 59:33 64
2 FK Kyran 28 19 3 6 60:30 60
3 Zhenis 28 17 4 7 54:29 55
4 Akzhayik Uralsk 28 16 7 5 46:24 55
5 Kaspij Aktau 28 17 4 7 44:26 55
6 Vostok Oskemen 28 14 5 9 48:31 47
7 FC Ekibastuz 28 11 8 9 40:35 41
8 Sunkar 28 11 7 10 42:39 40
9 Kyzylzhar 28 12 1 15 41:45 37
10 Bayterek Astana 28 10 2 16 34:52 32
11 Taraz-Karatau 2 28 7 6 15 23:42 27
12 CSKA Almaty 28 6 6 16 32:54 24
13 Shakhtar Bulat 28 7 2 19 26:40 23
14 Gefest Karagandy 28 6 3 19 16:56 21
15 Maqtaaral 28 4 5 19 33:62 17
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