Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSKA Almaty vs Maqtaaral

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSKA Almaty in this First Division 2014 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSKA Almaty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CSKA Almaty
30%
Draws
23%
Maqtaaral
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSKA Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maqtaaral lately — more wins on the board than CSKA Almaty.
  • CSKA Almaty are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular First Division 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
CSKA Almaty Clean Sheet 19%
Maqtaaral Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Almaty Maqtaaral
Matches Played 34 43
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1.24 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2018 Kazakhstan Cup
Maqtaaral vs CSKA Almaty
1:1
Oct 3, 2015 First League
CSKA Almaty vs Maqtaaral
3:1
Jun 21, 2015 First League
Maqtaaral vs CSKA Almaty
2:1
Aug 23, 2014 First League
CSKA Almaty vs Maqtaaral
4:3
Jun 22, 2014 First League
Maqtaaral vs CSKA Almaty
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Almaty 76 / 100
Maqtaaral 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Almaty Maqtaaral

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Almaty Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Maqtaaral conceded in 81% of 43 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

CSKA Almaty's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Solid form: CSKA Almaty remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Maqtaaral
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Almaty

(Home)
22 Mar
CSKA Almaty
2 : 2
FC Ruzaevka
19 Mar
Maqtaaral
1 : 1
CSKA Almaty
24 Oct
FK Kyran
2 : 0
CSKA Almaty
17 Oct
CSKA Almaty
3 : 2
Kaspij Aktau
11 Oct
Bayterek Astana
0 : 2
CSKA Almaty
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Maqtaaral

(Away)
15 Mar
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 2
Maqtaaral
19 Mar
Maqtaaral
0 : 2
SD Family
16 Mar
Ulytau
1 : 0
Maqtaaral
29 Oct
Okzhetpes
1 : 1
Maqtaaral
21 Oct
Maqtaaral
2 : 1
Kyzylzhar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 28 21 1 6 59:33 64
2 FK Kyran 28 19 3 6 60:30 60
3 Zhenis 28 17 4 7 54:29 55
4 Akzhayik Uralsk 28 16 7 5 46:24 55
5 Kaspij Aktau 28 17 4 7 44:26 55
6 Vostok Oskemen 28 14 5 9 48:31 47
7 FC Ekibastuz 28 11 8 9 40:35 41
8 Sunkar 28 11 7 10 42:39 40
9 Kyzylzhar 28 12 1 15 41:45 37
10 Bayterek Astana 28 10 2 16 34:52 32
11 Taraz-Karatau 2 28 7 6 15 23:42 27
12 CSKA Almaty 28 6 6 16 32:54 24
13 Shakhtar Bulat 28 7 2 19 26:40 23
14 Gefest Karagandy 28 6 3 19 16:56 21
15 Maqtaaral 28 4 5 19 33:62 17
Promotion - Premier League 2015 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2014 (Relegation)