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CSKA Moscow vs FK Rostov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League VEB Arena, Moscow
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Sako O.
46'
Sub
Mukhin M. In: Olusegun O.
Out: Mukhin M.
59'
Sub
Glebov K. In: Popovic M.
Out: Glebov K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between CSKA Moscow and FK Rostov finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
CSKA Moscow
15%
Draws
32%
FK Rostov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSKA Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA Moscow's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what FK Rostov have produced (1.14).
  • Model gives CSKA Moscow a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
FK Rostov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Moscow FK Rostov
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Russian Cup
FK Rostov vs CSKA Moscow
2:0
Aug 8, 2026 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs FK Rostov
0:0
Apr 21, 2026 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs FK Rostov
1:1
Feb 18, 2026 Club Friendly
CSKA Moscow vs FK Rostov
3:1
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
FK Rostov vs CSKA Moscow
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Moscow 95 / 100
FK Rostov 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Moscow FK Rostov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Moscow scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

FK Rostov let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: CSKA Moscow remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Moscow VS FK Rostov
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Moscow

(Home)
04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
12 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
05 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 2
CSKA Moscow
Page 1 of 6

FK Rostov

(Away)
09 Oct
FK Rostov
1 : 0
Akron Togliatti
03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Krasnodar
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0
FK Rostov
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 10 7 0 3 22:11 21
2 Krasnodar 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
3 Spartak Moscow 10 6 2 2 17:8 20
4 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
5 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
6 Orenburg 10 2 6 2 11:10 12
7 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 2 6 2 14:15 12
10 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
11 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
12 Lokomotiv Moscow 10 2 4 4 13:11 10
13 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
14 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 10 0 3 7 6:18 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)