Sport Picks

Russia

Russian Cup 2025/2026 VEB Arena

CSKA Moscow

2 - 1

Lokomotiv Moscow

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Godyaev D.

30'

Gajic M.

Assist: Glebov K.

45'

Nyamsi G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Russian Cup 2025/2026 game between CSKA Moscow and Lokomotiv Moscow finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

CSKA Moscow

Draws

90%

Lokomotiv Moscow

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lokomotiv Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

CSKA Moscow haven't matched Lokomotiv Moscow's recent run of results.
Model gives Lokomotiv Moscow a 90% chance of winning this.
Cup games in Russian Cup 2025/2026 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%

CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 13%

Lokomotiv Moscow Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CSKA Moscow	Lokomotiv Moscow
Matches Played	28	31
Wins	10	17
Draws	6	7
Losses	12	7
Goals Scored	1.13	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly

Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moscow

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

May 17, 2026 Premier League

CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

3:1

Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly

CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 4 - 3

3:2

Oct 18, 2025 Premier League

Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moscow

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 2 - 0

3:0

Oct 1, 2025 Russian Cup

Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moscow

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Gajic M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Glebov K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Lokomotiv Moscow Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Moscow 10 / 100

Lokomotiv Moscow 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CSKA Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOK Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Moscow found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Lokomotiv Moscow has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

CSKA Moscow went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Moscow VS Lokomotiv Moscow

1.13 Goals Scored 2.25

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38

75% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Zenit St Petersburg	6	6	0	19:5	18
2	Orenburg	6	3	3	6:14	8
3	Rubin Kazan	6	2	4	5:9	6
4	Akhmat Grozny	6	1	5	8:10	4

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Krasnodar	6	5	1	14:5	14
2	Dynamo Moscow	6	3	3	11:6	11
3	Krylya Sovetov Samara	6	3	3	7:11	8
4	PFC Sochi	6	1	5	8:18	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Spartak Moscow	6	4	2	13:5	13
2	Dynamo Makhachkala	6	5	1	9:7	13
3	FK Rostov	6	2	4	8:9	7
4	Pari Nizhny Novgorod	6	1	5	4:13	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	CSKA Moscow	6	4	2	9:5	13
2	Lokomotiv Moscow	6	4	2	10:4	13
3	Baltika	6	2	4	6:9	5
4	Akron Togliatti	6	2	4	6:13	5