Sport Picks
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Russian Cup VEB Arena, Moscow 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. CSKA Moscow have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Lokomotiv Moscow's 1.47 scored and 1.07 conceded. Past meetings favor CSKA Moscow slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.44, favoring CSKA Moscow. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- CSKA Moscow have managed 1.43 goals a game lately — Lokomotiv Moscow are scoring more at 1.47.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor CSKA Moscow, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and CSKA Moscow have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CSKA Moscow | Lokomotiv Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Attacking prowess: CSKA Moscow scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Lokomotiv Moscow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
CSKA Moscow went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
CSKA Moscow
(Home)Lokomotiv Moscow
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Orenburg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:11 | 4 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | 3 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo Moscow | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Akhmat Grozny | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Fakel Voronezh | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 4 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 11 |
| 2 | Baltika | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Rostov | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Akron Togliatti | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | 7 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:3 | 3 |
