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CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Panjsher

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Lucas K.
50' Event
Sharipov D.
83' Event
Boronov A.

AI Match Summary

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe in this Vysshaya Liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSKA Pomir Dushanbe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
35%
Draws
40%
Panjsher
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Panjsher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Panjsher haven't matched CSKA Pomir Dushanbe's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Clean Sheet 20%
Panjsher Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Panjsher
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.55 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Panjsher
5:1
Mar 16, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Panjsher vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0:3
Feb 11, 2025 Tajikistan Cup
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Panjsher
1:1
Jun 30, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Panjsher
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Panjsher vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sharipov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Panjsher Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 32 / 100
Panjsher 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Panjsher

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panjsher Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

Panjsher's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: CSKA Pomir Dushanbe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe VS Panjsher
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe

(Home)
14 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0 : 3
Ravshan Kulob
06 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 0
Eskhata
15 Aug
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 1
Vakhsh
01 Aug
Khujand
1 : 1
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
26 Jun
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
2 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
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Panjsher

(Away)
10 Nov
Panjsher
1 : 1
Khosilot Parkhar
05 Nov
Regar-TadAZ
1 : 2
Panjsher
24 Oct
Panjsher
2 : 2
Khujand
18 Oct
Eskhata
1 : 0
Panjsher
28 Sept
Panjsher
1 : 0
Istaravshan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 22 15 5 2 58:18 50
2 Vakhsh 22 12 9 1 33:18 45
3 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 22 10 7 5 38:23 37
4 Ravshan Kulob 22 8 11 3 26:20 35
5 Khujand 22 9 4 9 24:25 31
6 Regar-TadAZ 22 8 6 8 25:24 30
7 Eskhata 22 7 9 6 31:30 30
8 Barkchi Hisor 22 6 9 7 22:20 27
9 Khosilot Parkhar 22 6 6 10 27:38 24
10 Istaravshan 22 4 7 11 23:42 19
11 Hulbuk 22 2 7 13 15:39 13
12 Panjsher 22 2 6 14 16:41 12
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga 2025 (Relegation)