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CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Ravshan Kulob

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe play Ravshan Kulob in the Vysshaya Liga 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, CSKA Pomir Dushanbe averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Ravshan Kulob averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, CSKA Pomir Dushanbe won 1, Ravshan Kulob won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for CSKA Pomir Dushanbe and 0.94 for Ravshan Kulob. This points to a CSKA Pomir Dushanbe double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
33%
Draws
33%
Ravshan Kulob
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CSKA Pomir Dushanbe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA Pomir Dushanbe picked up more points recently compared to Ravshan Kulob.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Clean Sheet 24%
Ravshan Kulob Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Ravshan Kulob
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Ravshan Kulob vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Ravshan Kulob
0:1
May 4, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Ravshan Kulob vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0:0
Aug 18, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Ravshan Kulob vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1:0
Apr 20, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Ravshan Kulob
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ravshan Kulob Compare

Top Goalscorer Irgashev S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 35 / 100
Ravshan Kulob 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Ravshan Kulob

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CSKA Pomir Dushanbe or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe attacking → ← attacking Ravshan Kulob

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Ravshan Kulob let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ravshan Kulob lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 45
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Istiqlol Dushanbe22155258:1850
2Vakhsh22129133:1845
3CSKA Pomir Dushanbe22107538:2337
4Ravshan Kulob22811326:2035
5Khujand2294924:2531
6Regar-TadAZ2286825:2430
7Eskhata2279631:3030
8Barkchi Hisor2269722:2027
9Khosilot Parkhar22661027:3824
10Istaravshan22471123:4219
11Hulbuk22271315:3913
12Panjsher22261416:4112