Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSKA Sofia II vs Hebar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Mihaylov I.
33' Event
Mihaylov I.
35'
Georgiev M.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between CSKA Sofia II and Hebar finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Sofia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
CSKA Sofia II
20%
Draws
38%
Hebar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA Sofia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSKA Sofia II come out ahead of Hebar on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and CSKA Sofia II have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
CSKA Sofia II Clean Sheet 68%
Hebar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia II Hebar
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.9 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Hebar
4:3
Apr 22, 2026 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Hebar
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Vtora liga
Hebar vs CSKA Sofia II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Sofia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorakov M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tasev I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Hebar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mihaylov I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Georgiev M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia II 41 / 100
Hebar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia II Hebar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

CSKA Sofia II found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Hebar let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: CSKA Sofia II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia II VS Hebar
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia II

(Home)
21 Sept
Dobrudzha
1 : 3
CSKA Sofia II
13 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 0
Montana
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
03 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
5 : 1
Spartak Pleven
29 Aug
Fratria
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
Page 1 of 6

Hebar

(Away)
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5
Hebar
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
29 Aug
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Hebar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 10 6 3 1 23:11 21
2 CSKA Sofia II 10 6 2 2 22:9 20
3 Fratria 10 5 4 1 14:8 19
4 Chernomorets 1919 10 5 3 2 16:8 18
5 Nesebar 10 5 2 3 20:15 17
6 Yantra Gabrovo 10 5 1 4 12:10 16
7 Beroe 10 4 3 3 15:12 15
8 Rilski Sportist 10 4 3 3 13:10 15
9 Gorna 10 4 3 3 9:10 15
10 Hebar 10 4 2 4 23:17 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Spartak Pleven 10 4 1 5 11:19 13
13 Marek 10 4 1 5 11:12 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
16 Svoge 10 2 4 4 7:9 10
17 Dobrudzha 10 1 3 6 10:17 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 10 0 0 10 4:32 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)