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CSKA Sofia II vs Krumovgrad

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia
Sat, May 16, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSKA Sofia II host Krumovgrad in the Vtora liga 2025/2026. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Krumovgrad have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while CSKA Sofia II have conceded 0.87 and scored 1.83. Head-to-head, CSKA Sofia II have won 0 to Krumovgrad's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 2.06, favoring Krumovgrad. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
CSKA Sofia II
15%
Draws
47%
Krumovgrad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Krumovgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSKA Sofia II come out ahead of Krumovgrad on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Vtora liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
CSKA Sofia II Clean Sheet 10%
Krumovgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia II Krumovgrad
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 18 8
Draws 6 0
Losses 6 0
Goals Scored 1.83 3.25
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Krumovgrad
0:0
Nov 15, 2025 Vtora liga
Krumovgrad vs CSKA Sofia II
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia II 30 / 100
Krumovgrad 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia II Krumovgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krumovgrad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Sofia II found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

CSKA Sofia II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Krumovgrad conceded in 50% of 8 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia II VS Krumovgrad
2.25 Goals Scored 3.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia II

(Home)
27 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 0
Svoge
21 Sept
Dobrudzha
1 : 3
CSKA Sofia II
13 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 0
Montana
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
03 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
5 : 1
Spartak Pleven
Page 1 of 6

Krumovgrad

(Away)
26 Sept
Gigant Saedinenie
0 : 2
Krumovgrad
19 Sept
Maritsa Milevo
0 : 4
Krumovgrad
12 Sept
Krumovgrad
6 : 1
Sekirovo Rakovski
06 Sept
Botev II
0 : 2
Krumovgrad
29 Aug
Krumovgrad
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 32 20 9 3 53:16 69
2 Yantra Gabrovo 32 18 10 4 45:24 64
3 Fratria 32 18 9 5 61:29 63
4 Vihren 32 17 7 8 59:34 58
5 CSKA Sofia II 32 16 7 9 57:32 55
6 Chernomorets 1919 32 11 13 8 38:32 46
7 Etar 32 11 11 10 39:43 44
8 Ludogorets II 32 11 8 13 41:43 41
9 Marek 32 10 11 11 27:35 41
10 Hebar 32 11 7 14 41:51 40
11 Pirin Blagoevgrad 32 9 11 12 38:41 38
12 Spartak Pleven 32 9 8 15 37:45 35
13 Svoge 32 9 7 16 28:48 34
14 Gorna 32 8 9 15 33:52 33
15 Sevlievo 32 9 5 18 29:52 32
16 Minyor Pernik 32 7 9 16 32:45 30
17 Belasitsa Petrich 32 4 7 21 26:62 19
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Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)