Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026 National Stadium Vasil Levski

CSKA Sofia III

2 - 1

Bistritsa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between CSKA Sofia III and Bistritsa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Sofia III.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

CSKA Sofia III

Draws

Bistritsa

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CSKA Sofia III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Bistritsa haven't matched CSKA Sofia III's recent run of results.
Model gives CSKA Sofia III a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
CSKA Sofia III have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 20%

Bistritsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CSKA Sofia III	Bistritsa
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	14	10
Draws	4	2
Losses	11	19
Goals Scored	1.38	0
Goals Conceded	1.13	3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Third League - South-West

Bistritsa vs CSKA Sofia III

Possession: 50% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

Nov 8, 2025 Third League - South-West

CSKA Sofia III vs Bistritsa

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

May 4, 2025 Third League - South-West

CSKA Sofia III vs Bistritsa

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

4:1

Nov 20, 2024 Third League - South-West

Bistritsa vs CSKA Sofia III

Possession: 50% - 46% Cards: 0 - 4

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia III 85 / 100

Bistritsa 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CSKA Sofia III Bistritsa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bistritsa conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Solid form: CSKA Sofia III remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Bistritsa registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia III VS Bistritsa

1.38 Goals Scored 0

1.13 Goals Conceded 3

75% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 100%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38