Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CSKA Sofia III host Kostinbrod in the Third League - South-West. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Kostinbrod have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while CSKA Sofia III have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, CSKA Sofia III have won 1 to Kostinbrod's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.00, favoring CSKA Sofia III. CSKA Sofia III in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

CSKA Sofia III

Draws

Kostinbrod

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CSKA Sofia III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

CSKA Sofia III has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kostinbrod.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for CSKA Sofia III.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - South-West provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 20%

Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CSKA Sofia III	Kostinbrod
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	14	12
Draws	4	5
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.25	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Third League - South-West

CSKA Sofia III vs Kostinbrod

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Nov 15, 2025 Third League - South-West

Kostinbrod vs CSKA Sofia III

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia III 85 / 100

Kostinbrod 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CSKA Sofia III Kostinbrod

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Sofia III scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Kostinbrod let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CSKA Sofia III went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Kostinbrod lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia III VS Kostinbrod

1.25 Goals Scored 0.88

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38