Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026

CSKA Sofia III

2 - 3

Kyustendil

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kyustendil in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kyustendil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

CSKA Sofia III

Draws

Kyustendil

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CSKA Sofia III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

CSKA Sofia III have won more games recently than Kyustendil.
CSKA Sofia III are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Kyustendil have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 20%

Kyustendil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CSKA Sofia III	Kyustendil
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	14	13
Draws	4	5
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.38	1
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Third League - South-West

CSKA Sofia III vs Kyustendil

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

2:3

Aug 9, 2025 Third League - South-West

Kyustendil vs CSKA Sofia III

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 3 - 4

5:3

May 31, 2025 Third League - South-West

Kyustendil vs CSKA Sofia III

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 1 - 0

5:1

Nov 16, 2024 Third League - South-West

CSKA Sofia III vs Kyustendil

Possession: 60% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia III 85 / 100

Kyustendil 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CSKA Sofia III Kyustendil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.25 goals.

Solid form: CSKA Sofia III remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

CSKA Sofia III's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kyustendil let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia III VS Kyustendil

1.38 Goals Scored 1

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88

75% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38