Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Chochev I.
42'
Duah K.
59'
Eto'o J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
CSKA Sofia
39%
Draws
31%
Ludogorets
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ludogorets have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — CSKA Sofia are scoring more at 1.75.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor CSKA Sofia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 68%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia Ludogorets
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia
1:0
May 3, 2026 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets
1:0
Apr 29, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets
0:0
Apr 21, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia 41 / 100
Ludogorets 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia Ludogorets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Sofia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CSKA Sofia's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Ludogorets has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia VS Ludogorets
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia

(Home)
02 Aug
CSKA Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
30 Jul
CSKA Sofia
1 : 0
Qarabag Agdam
27 Jul
CSKA Sofia
3 : 2
Botev Plovdiv
23 Jul
Qarabag Agdam
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia
20 Jul
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Ludogorets

(Away)
02 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Botev Vratsa
30 Jul
Ludogorets
2 : 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
27 Jul
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2
Ludogorets
23 Jul
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2 : 0
Ludogorets
18 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Etar 1
TBD -
Dobrudzha -
Zagorets -
TBD -
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Partizan Cerven Brjag 0
Minyor Pernik 2
TBD -
Cherno More -
Germaneya 0
Fratria 4
TBD -
Arda -
Benkovski 0
Dunav Ruse 4
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Septemvri Tervel 0
Marek 3
TBD -
Montana -
Yambol 1915 2
Vihren 1
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
OFC Haskovo 0
Spartak Pleven 4
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Svoge 4
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
FC Lovech 0
Chernomorets 1919 5
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Pernik 1
Hebar 8
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Bistritsa 2
Gorna 1
TBD -
Beroe -
Chernolomets 2
Sevlievo 4
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Rilski Sportist 2
Belasitsa Petrich 1
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 1
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Kom Berkovitsa 0
Yantra Gabrovo 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
1/16-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Dobrudzha 7
Zagorets 1
Botev Vratsa 4
Minyor Pernik 0
Cherno More 3
Fratria 1
Arda 2
Dunav Ruse 1
Lok. Plovdiv 2
Marek 1
Montana 4
Yambol 1915 1
Spartak Varna 3
Spartak Pleven 0
Botev Plovdiv 4
Svoge 0
Septemvri Sofia 2
Chernomorets 1919 2
Ludogorets 3
Hebar 0
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 1
Beroe 0
Sevlievo 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Rilski Sportist 2
Lok. Sofia 3
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Slavia Sofia 2
Yantra Gabrovo 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 4
1/8-finals
Dobrudzha 0
Botev Vratsa 1
Cherno More 0
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 4
Montana 0
Spartak Varna 0
Botev Plovdiv 2
Septemvri Sofia 1
Ludogorets 3
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 0
CSKA Sofia 2
Lok. Sofia 1
Slavia Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 3
Quarter-finals
Botev Vratsa 2
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 1
Botev Plovdiv 0
Ludogorets 1
Levski Sofia 0
CSKA Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 0
Semi-finals
Arda 1
Lok. Plovdiv 5
Ludogorets 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Final
Lok. Plovdiv 1
CSKA Sofia 2