Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Brahimi M.
Assist: Jordao B.
23'
Tekpetey B.
56'
Jordao B.

AI Match Summary

CSKA Sofia in this efbet League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSKA Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
CSKA Sofia
20%
Draws
38%
Ludogorets
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: CSKA Sofia at 1.63 per game, Ludogorets at 1.5.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on CSKA Sofia taking it.
  • Regular efbet League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 17%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia Ludogorets
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia
1:0
May 3, 2026 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets
1:0
Apr 29, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets
0:0
Apr 21, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Brahimi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ludogorets Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia 41 / 100
Ludogorets 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia Ludogorets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Sofia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CSKA Sofia's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Ludogorets conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia VS Ludogorets
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia

(Home)
20 Jul
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia
16 Jul
Derry City
1 : 2
CSKA Sofia
09 Jul
CSKA Sofia
3 : 2
Derry City
03 Jul
CSKA Sofia
3 : 0
Marek
28 Jun
Odra Opole
2 : 3
CSKA Sofia
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Ludogorets

(Away)
18 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
10 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Teuta
10 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Septemvri Sofia
04 Jul
Ludogorets
2 : 2
FC Botosani
26 Jun
Ludogorets
7 : 4
Etar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levski Sofia36256571:2581
2CSKA 1948 Sofia36207954:3567
3Ludogorets361910761:2567
4CSKA Sofia36189947:3063
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)