Sport Picks
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
Conference League National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia 
Match Events
3'
3'
Brunner P.
Assist: Idumbo S.
43'
43'
Fati A.
Assist: Brunner P.
51'
51'
Sensi S.
AI Match Summary
Monaco in this Conference League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monaco.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSKA Sofia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- CSKA Sofia have won more games recently than Monaco.
- CSKA Sofia are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 16%
Monaco Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CSKA Sofia | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 15, 2026 Conference League
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco
1:2
Dec 15, 2005 Europa League
Monaco vs CSKA Sofia
2:1
Oct 3, 1984 Europa League
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco
2:1
Sep 19, 1984 Europa League
Monaco vs CSKA Sofia
2:2
Sep 29, 1982 Champions League
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CSKA Sofia Compare
Top Goalscorer Zwarts J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Monaco Compare
Top Goalscorer Brunner P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fati A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CSKA Sofia 41 / 100
Monaco 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CSKA Sofia Monaco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CSKA Sofia found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).
Monaco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: CSKA Sofia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
CSKA Sofia VS Monaco
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
CSKA Sofia
(Home) 26 Oct
CSKA Sofia
2 : 0 Ludogorets
22 Oct
Nordsjaelland
2 : 2 CSKA Sofia
18 Oct
Nesebar
0 : 2 CSKA Sofia
15 Oct
CSKA Sofia
1 : 2 Monaco
11 Oct
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 3 CSKA Sofia
Page 1 of 6
26 Oct
CSKA Sofia
2 : 0 Ludogorets
15 Oct
CSKA Sofia
1 : 2 Monaco
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1 Arda
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1 Cherno More
27 Aug
CSKA Sofia
0 : 2 OFI Crete
Page 1 of 3
Monaco
(Away) 25 Oct
Monaco
1 : 1 Lille
22 Oct
Monaco
3 : 0 Freiburg
18 Oct
Lorient
1 : 0 Monaco
15 Oct
CSKA Sofia
1 : 2 Monaco
10 Oct
Monaco
2 : 2 Toulouse
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Lorient
1 : 0 Monaco
15 Oct
CSKA Sofia
1 : 2 Monaco
12 Sept
Strasbourg
1 : 1 Monaco
04 Sept
PSG
1 : 2 Monaco
23 Aug
Le Havre
0 : 1 Monaco
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 | Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Univ. Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 | Mjallby | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 | Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 | Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 | Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 | KF Egnatia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 | Riga FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 | Crvena zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 | Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 | Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 | Hearts | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 | Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 | Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Inter Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
