Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSM Alexandria vs FC U Craiova

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 Turnu Măgurele Municipal Stadium, Turnu Măgurele
Fri, Oct 17, 2025
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Alexandria host FC U Craiova in the Liga 3 - Seria 5. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. CSM Alexandria have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against FC U Craiova's 0 scored and 0.71 conceded. Head-to-head, CSM Alexandria have won 1 to FC U Craiova's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.92 - 1.25) back CSM Alexandria to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
CSM Alexandria
28%
Draws
22%
FC U Craiova
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: CSM Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • CSM Alexandria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CSM Alexandria a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 19%
FC U Craiova Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Alexandria FC U Craiova
Matches Played 28 10
Wins 12 2
Draws 7 1
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
FC U Craiova vs CSM Alexandria
0:0
Oct 17, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Alexandria vs FC U Craiova
0:0
Apr 5, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 3
CSM Alexandria vs FC U Craiova
1:0
Sep 29, 2018 Liga 3 - Seria 3
FC U Craiova vs CSM Alexandria
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Alexandria 49 / 100
FC U Craiova 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Alexandria FC U Craiova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Alexandria found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

FC U Craiova's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 10 matches.

Difficult form: FC U Craiova registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

CSM Alexandria VS FC U Craiova
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.71
75% Over 1.5 14%
38% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Alexandria

(Home)
29 Jul
Dunarea Giurgiu
3 : 0
CSM Alexandria
15 May
Nanov
2 : 2
CSM Alexandria
08 May
CSM Alexandria
2 : 0
CSO Filiasi
01 May
Adunatii-Copaceni
2 : 1
CSM Alexandria
24 Apr
CSM Alexandria
0 : 1
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
Page 1 of 6

FC U Craiova

(Away)
29 Jul
FC U Craiova
0 : 5
CSO Filiasi
06 Sept
FC U Craiova
0 : 6
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
30 Aug
FC U Craiova
0 : 0
Academica Bals
06 Aug
Farcasesti
3 : 2
FC U Craiova
10 May
CSC Dumbravita
3 : 0
FC U Craiova
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CS U Craiova 220154137:1649
2Cetatea Turnu Magurele20127141:1943
3Academica Bals20125335:1841
4LPS HD Clinceni20123544:1939
5CSM Alexandria20106435:1936
6Curtisoara2084828:3128
7Progresul Spartac20821033:3326
8SCM Dunarea Giurgiu20521319:3817
9Adunatii-Copaceni20411516:3613
10CSO Filiasi20321515:4211
11Nanov20221613:458
12FC U Craiova00000:0-106
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 (Relegation Group)