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CSM Alexandria vs Inter Ilfov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 5 game between CSM Alexandria and Inter Ilfov finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Ilfov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CSM Alexandria
20%
Draws
40%
Inter Ilfov
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Inter Ilfov's 1.8 goals per match outpaces what CSM Alexandria have produced (1.61).
  • Win probability leans Inter Ilfov's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 16%
Inter Ilfov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Alexandria Inter Ilfov
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.61 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Alexandria vs Inter Ilfov
0:3
Nov 21, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Alexandria vs Inter Ilfov
2:1
Sep 12, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Inter Ilfov vs CSM Alexandria
2:1
Jul 30, 2025 Romanian Cup
Inter Ilfov vs CSM Alexandria
1:0
Nov 15, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Inter Ilfov vs CSM Alexandria
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Alexandria 23 / 100
Inter Ilfov 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Alexandria Inter Ilfov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Ilfov Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Ilfov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: CSM Alexandria scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: CSM Alexandria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSM Alexandria VS Inter Ilfov
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Alexandria

(Home)
23 Oct
CSM Alexandria
0 : 3
Inter Ilfov
16 Oct
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
1 : 1
CSM Alexandria
09 Oct
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0
Din. Bucuresti 2
02 Oct
Voluntari 2
0 : 2
CSM Alexandria
25 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 0
Adunatii-Copaceni
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Inter Ilfov

(Away)
23 Oct
CSM Alexandria
0 : 3
Inter Ilfov
16 Oct
Inter Ilfov
3 : 1
Oxigen Bucuresti
10 Oct
Progresul Mogosoaia
2 : 1
Inter Ilfov
02 Oct
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
2 : 2
Inter Ilfov
25 Sept
Inter Ilfov
5 : 1
Din. Bucuresti 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omega Sport 10 7 3 0 14:6 24
2 Inter Ilfov 10 6 2 2 25:14 20
3 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 10 5 5 0 22:12 20
4 CSM Alexandria 10 5 3 2 14:10 18
5 Progresul Mogosoaia 10 4 3 3 17:19 15
6 Din. Bucuresti 2 10 4 0 6 10:15 12
7 Adunatii-Copaceni 10 4 0 6 7:17 12
8 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 10 2 5 3 20:14 11
9 FCSB 2 10 3 1 6 20:26 10
10 Oxigen Bucuresti 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Voluntari 2 10 2 2 6 12:18 8
12 Progresul Spartac 10 2 1 7 10:13 7
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 (Relegation Group)