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CSM Alexandria vs Sp. Studentesc II

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 3 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Alexandria play Sp. Studentesc II in the Liga 3 - Seria 3 2011/2012. CSM Alexandria are favorites here. Recently, CSM Alexandria averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Sp. Studentesc II averaged 1.33 goals scored and 3.27 conceded. In past meetings, CSM Alexandria won 2, Sp. Studentesc II won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 18, 2012 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for CSM Alexandria and 0.88 for Sp. Studentesc II. This points to a CSM Alexandria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
CSM Alexandria
15%
Draws
18%
Sp. Studentesc II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSM Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • CSM Alexandria picked up more points recently compared to Sp. Studentesc II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 25%
Sp. Studentesc II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Alexandria Sp. Studentesc II
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 0
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.66 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.28 3.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2012 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Sp. Studentesc II vs CSM Alexandria
2:3
Nov 11, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 3
CSM Alexandria vs Sp. Studentesc II
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Alexandria 65 / 100
Sp. Studentesc II 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Alexandria Sp. Studentesc II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Alexandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick CSM Alexandria & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSM Alexandria attacking → ← attacking Sp. Studentesc II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Alexandria scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Sp. Studentesc II let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

CSM Alexandria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sp. Studentesc II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 21
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1LPS HD Clinceni26156547:2351
2Viitorul Domnesti26163733:2151
3Chimia Brazi26145748:1947
4Conpet Ploiesti26136742:2545
5Urban Titu26143943:2745
6Inter Clinceni261321131:3141
7Concordia 226117837:3140
8Filipestii261241038:3840
9CSM Alexandria26116938:3339
10CSO Plopeni261141140:3437
11Prahova261141136:2937
12Cetatea Turnu Magurele26461616:4218
13Sp. Studentesc II26322124:7211
14Argesul Mihailesti26242021:6910