Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSM Bacau vs FC Bacau Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025
CSM Bacau Logo

CSM Bacau

3 - 1
FT
FC Bacau Logo

FC Bacau

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 game between CSM Bacau and FC Bacau finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSM Bacau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
CSM Bacau
20%
Draws
58%
FC Bacau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Bacau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Bacau come out ahead of CSM Bacau on wins alone.
  • FC Bacau are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Bacau have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CSM Bacau Clean Sheet 20%
FC Bacau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Bacau FC Bacau
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 13 20
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.37 1.85
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs FC Bacau
2:3
Apr 25, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
FC Bacau vs CSM Bacau
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs FC Bacau
3:1
Mar 8, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs FC Bacau
0:1
Oct 18, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
FC Bacau vs CSM Bacau
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Bacau 10 / 100
FC Bacau 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Bacau FC Bacau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Bacau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

CSM Bacau's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FC Bacau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 34 matches.

CSM Bacau went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Bacau
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Bacau

(Home)
30 Jul
CSM Vaslui
15 : 0
CSM Bacau
17 May
CSM Bacau
2 : 3
FC Bacau
10 May
Gloria Ultra
2 : 3
CSM Bacau
03 May
Stiinta Miroslava
3 : 2
CSM Bacau
25 Apr
FC Bacau
3 : 0
CSM Bacau
Page 1 of 6

FC Bacau

(Away)
19 Sept
FC Bacau
2 : 2
Cetatea Suceava
15 Sept
CSM Resita
0 : 1
FC Bacau
06 Sept
FC Bacau
6 : 1
CSC Dumbravita
03 Sept
FC Bacau
1 : 2
Univ. Craiova
31 Aug
FC Bacau
0 : 0
CSM Slatina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bacau 9 7 0 2 23:11 65
2 Stiinta Miroslava 9 5 1 3 17:12 53
3 CSM Bacau 9 3 2 4 15:20 44
4 Gloria Ultra 9 1 1 7 12:24 34
Promotion - Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)