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CSM Bacau vs Gloria Ultra

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 game between CSM Bacau and Gloria Ultra finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CSM Bacau
15%
Draws
0%
Gloria Ultra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSM Bacau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Gloria Ultra haven't matched CSM Bacau's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gloria Ultra a 0% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CSM Bacau Clean Sheet 10%
Gloria Ultra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Bacau Gloria Ultra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Gloria Ultra vs CSM Bacau
2:3
Apr 18, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs Gloria Ultra
3:3
Mar 29, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Gloria Ultra vs CSM Bacau
0:1
Nov 23, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs Gloria Ultra
2:2
Sep 21, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Gloria Ultra vs CSM Bacau
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Bacau 10 / 100
Gloria Ultra 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Bacau Gloria Ultra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gloria Ultra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Gloria Ultra registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

CSM Bacau scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Gloria Ultra let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

CSM Bacau VS Gloria Ultra
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Bacau

(Home)
30 Jul
CSM Vaslui
15 : 0
CSM Bacau
17 May
CSM Bacau
2 : 3
FC Bacau
10 May
Gloria Ultra
2 : 3
CSM Bacau
03 May
Stiinta Miroslava
3 : 2
CSM Bacau
25 Apr
FC Bacau
3 : 0
CSM Bacau
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Gloria Ultra

(Away)
30 Jul
Bucovina Radauti
3 : 0
Gloria Ultra
17 May
Stiinta Miroslava
1 : 0
Gloria Ultra
10 May
Gloria Ultra
2 : 3
CSM Bacau
02 May
FC Bacau
1 : 0
Gloria Ultra
26 Apr
Gloria Ultra
1 : 3
Stiinta Miroslava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bacau 18 14 2 2 50:11 44
2 Stiinta Miroslava 18 11 4 3 55:25 37
3 CSM Bacau 18 10 3 5 25:23 33
4 Gloria Ultra 18 8 6 4 26:12 30
5 CSM Vaslui 18 9 3 6 35:32 30
6 Bucovina Radauti 18 7 4 7 20:26 25
7 Somuz Falticeni 18 4 6 8 17:28 18
8 Soimii Gura Humorului 18 3 5 10 17:35 14
9 ACS USV Iasi 18 3 3 12 19:44 12
10 Ceahlaul II 18 2 2 14 10:38 8
Promotion - Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)