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CSM Bacau vs Politehnica Galati

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Bacau play Politehnica Galati in the Liga 3 - Seria 1 2010/2011. CSM Bacau are favorites here. Recently, CSM Bacau averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Politehnica Galati averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, CSM Bacau won 2, Politehnica Galati won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 18, 2011 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for CSM Bacau and 1.31 for Politehnica Galati. This points to a CSM Bacau double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
CSM Bacau
15%
Draws
24%
Politehnica Galati
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSM Bacau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • CSM Bacau picked up more points recently compared to Politehnica Galati.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
CSM Bacau Clean Sheet 18%
Politehnica Galati Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Bacau Politehnica Galati
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.37 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs Politehnica Galati
1:0
Sep 10, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Politehnica Galati vs CSM Bacau
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Bacau 59 / 100
Politehnica Galati 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Bacau Politehnica Galati

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Bacau Win (1)
Secondary Pick CSM Bacau & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSM Bacau attacking → ← attacking Politehnica Galati

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Bacau scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Politehnica Galati let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CSM Bacau went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Politehnica Galati lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 24
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CSM Bacau26233078:1272
2SC Bacau26195257:1162
3Roman26154743:1849
4CSM Pascani261151040:4138
5Otelul 2261061037:3136
6Panciu261131241:3336
7Politehnica Galati261131228:3236
8Ceahlaul II261031327:3633
9FCM Onesti26951229:3732
10Aerostar26941334:4531
11Ozana Targu Neamt26931426:6430
12Foresta Suceava26921531:3829
13CSM Focsani26731626:4524
14Luceafarul Mihai26332019:7312