Sport Picks

Romania

Liga 2 Mircea Chivu Stadium

CSM Satu Mare

0 - 1

FC Bacau

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Juric M.

40'

Juric M.

45'

Cirstean G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Bacau in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Bacau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

CSM Satu Mare

Draws

FC Bacau

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CSM Satu Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to FC Bacau lately — more wins on the board than CSM Satu Mare.
Win probability leans CSM Satu Mare's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

CSM Satu Mare Clean Sheet 18%

FC Bacau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CSM Satu Mare	FC Bacau
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	10	13
Draws	4	5
Losses	16	11
Goals Scored	2.25	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Liga 2

FC Bacau vs CSM Satu Mare

Possession: 60% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

1:3

Nov 8, 2025 Liga 2

CSM Satu Mare vs FC Bacau

Possession: 45% - 57% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSM Satu Mare Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

FC Bacau Compare

Top Goalscorer Juric M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Satu Mare 85 / 100

FC Bacau 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CSM Satu Mare FC Bacau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Satu Mare went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: CSM Satu Mare scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

FC Bacau let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

CSM Satu Mare VS FC Bacau

2.25 Goals Scored 1.25

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63

100% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corvinul Hunedoara	21	16	5	0	37:13	53
2	Sepsi	21	13	5	3	34:18	44
3	Chindia Targoviste	21	12	3	6	38:20	39
4	FC Bihor	21	12	3	6	40:24	39
5	Voluntari	21	11	6	4	30:16	39
6	Steaua Bucuresti	21	12	3	6	36:27	39
7	FC ASA Tg. Mures	21	11	4	6	37:22	37
8	CSM Resita	21	10	3	8	35:29	33
9	FC Bacau	21	9	6	6	28:26	33
10	Metalul Buzau	21	10	2	9	33:26	32
11	Poli Iasi	21	9	4	8	25:22	31
12	Afumati	21	9	3	9	30:26	30
13	Concordia	21	8	3	10	29:24	27
14	Gloria Bistrita	21	7	5	9	29:29	26
15	CSM Slatina	21	7	5	9	27:28	26
16	CSC Dumbravita	21	7	4	10	25:33	25
17	Selimbar	21	5	5	11	27:32	20
18	Ceahlaul	21	5	3	13	20:43	18
19	CS Din. Bucuresti	21	3	7	11	19:35	16
20	Tunari	21	3	7	11	19:36	16
21	CSM Satu Mare	21	4	2	15	19:45	14
22	Campulung	21	2	4	15	10:53	10