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CSM Satu Mare vs Luceafarul Oradea

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 game between CSM Satu Mare and Luceafarul Oradea finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSM Satu Mare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
CSM Satu Mare
35%
Draws
26%
Luceafarul Oradea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CSM Satu Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • CSM Satu Mare carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CSM Satu Mare a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CSM Satu Mare have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CSM Satu Mare Clean Sheet 19%
Luceafarul Oradea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Satu Mare Luceafarul Oradea
Matches Played 47 30
Wins 21 1
Draws 9 3
Losses 17 26
Goals Scored 1.79 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.4 4.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 10
CSM Satu Mare vs Luceafarul Oradea
6:1
Apr 9, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Luceafarul Oradea vs CSM Satu Mare
1:10
Mar 12, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 10
CSM Satu Mare vs Luceafarul Oradea
3:0
Oct 9, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Luceafarul Oradea vs CSM Satu Mare
1:4
Apr 17, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 10
CSM Satu Mare vs Luceafarul Oradea
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Satu Mare 85 / 100
Luceafarul Oradea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Satu Mare Luceafarul Oradea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Satu Mare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luceafarul Oradea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.20 goals when they meet.

CSM Satu Mare's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 47 recent games.

Solid form: CSM Satu Mare remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSM Satu Mare VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Satu Mare

(Home)
19 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 2
Afumati
12 Sept
Metaloglobus Bucharest
1 : 1
CSM Satu Mare
06 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
1 : 1
Politehnica Timisoara
29 Aug
Gloria Bistrita
1 : 0
CSM Satu Mare
22 Aug
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 0
FC Bihor
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Luceafarul Oradea

(Away)
17 Aug
Luceafarul Oradea
2 : 9
Chisineu Cris
28 May
Luceafarul Oradea
3 : 3
CFR Cluj II
21 May
Progresul Somcuta Mare
5 : 1
Luceafarul Oradea
14 May
Luceafarul Oradea
1 : 1
Simleul Silvaniei
07 May
CSM Satu Mare
6 : 1
Luceafarul Oradea
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