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CSM Satu Mare vs Luceafarul Oradea

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 game between CSM Satu Mare and Luceafarul Oradea finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSM Satu Mare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
CSM Satu Mare
35%
Draws
26%
Luceafarul Oradea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CSM Satu Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • CSM Satu Mare carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on CSM Satu Mare taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CSM Satu Mare here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CSM Satu Mare Clean Sheet 19%
Luceafarul Oradea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Satu Mare Luceafarul Oradea
Matches Played 47 30
Wins 21 1
Draws 9 3
Losses 17 26
Goals Scored 1.79 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.4 4.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 10
CSM Satu Mare vs Luceafarul Oradea
6:1
Apr 9, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Luceafarul Oradea vs CSM Satu Mare
1:10
Mar 12, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 10
CSM Satu Mare vs Luceafarul Oradea
3:0
Oct 9, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Luceafarul Oradea vs CSM Satu Mare
1:4
Apr 17, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 10
CSM Satu Mare vs Luceafarul Oradea
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Satu Mare 85 / 100
Luceafarul Oradea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Satu Mare Luceafarul Oradea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Satu Mare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luceafarul Oradea let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.20 goals.

CSM Satu Mare found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (47 games).

CSM Satu Mare has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CSM Satu Mare VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Satu Mare

(Home)
19 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 2
Afumati
12 Sept
Metaloglobus Bucharest
1 : 1
CSM Satu Mare
06 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
1 : 1
Politehnica Timisoara
29 Aug
Gloria Bistrita
1 : 0
CSM Satu Mare
22 Aug
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 0
FC Bihor
Page 1 of 10

Luceafarul Oradea

(Away)
17 Aug
Luceafarul Oradea
2 : 9
Chisineu Cris
28 May
Luceafarul Oradea
3 : 3
CFR Cluj II
21 May
Progresul Somcuta Mare
5 : 1
Luceafarul Oradea
14 May
Luceafarul Oradea
1 : 1
Simleul Silvaniei
07 May
CSM Satu Mare
6 : 1
Luceafarul Oradea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baia Mare 18 13 3 2 57:20 42
2 CA Oradea 18 12 3 3 43:21 39
3 Somesul Dej 18 11 2 5 41:20 35
4 Baile Felix 18 8 5 5 38:23 29
5 SCM Zalau 18 9 1 8 44:35 28
6 Simleul Silvaniei 18 6 5 7 21:31 23
7 CFR Cluj II 18 6 3 9 22:26 21
8 CSM Satu Mare 18 4 6 8 24:33 18
9 Progresul Somcuta Mare 18 4 5 9 26:40 17
10 Luceafarul Oradea 18 0 1 17 6:73 -3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)