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CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 2 Daniel Prodan Stadium, Satu Mare
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Satu Mare host Metalul Buzau in the Liga 2. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Metalul Buzau have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while CSM Satu Mare have conceded 1.57 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor CSM Satu Mare slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2025, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.81 - 1.63) back Metalul Buzau to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
CSM Satu Mare
30%
Draws
54%
Metalul Buzau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Metalul Buzau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • CSM Satu Mare haven't matched Metalul Buzau's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CSM Satu Mare Clean Sheet 14%
Metalul Buzau Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Satu Mare Metalul Buzau
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Liga 2
Metalul Buzau vs CSM Satu Mare
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Satu Mare 31 / 100
Metalul Buzau 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Satu Mare Metalul Buzau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metalul Buzau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CSM Satu Mare scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Metalul Buzau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

CSM Satu Mare has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CSM Satu Mare VS Metalul Buzau
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Satu Mare

(Home)
01 Oct
CFR Cluj
2 : 1
CSM Satu Mare
19 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 2
Afumati
12 Sept
Metaloglobus Bucharest
1 : 1
CSM Satu Mare
06 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
1 : 1
Politehnica Timisoara
29 Aug
Gloria Bistrita
1 : 0
CSM Satu Mare
Page 1 of 6

Metalul Buzau

(Away)
19 Sept
Concordia
0 : 1
Metalul Buzau
13 Sept
Metalul Buzau
2 : 0
Unirea Slobozia
05 Sept
Selimbar
1 : 1
Metalul Buzau
29 Aug
Metalul Buzau
1 : 3
Chindia Targoviste
22 Aug
CSM Slatina
2 : 0
Metalul Buzau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Slatina 8 7 1 0 17:5 22
2 Politehnica Timisoara 9 6 3 0 19:8 21
3 CSM Resita 8 6 0 2 13:8 18
4 FC Bacau 8 4 3 1 19:8 15
5 Chindia Targoviste 8 5 0 3 17:8 15
6 Popesti Leordeni 8 4 3 1 19:14 15
7 Concordia 8 5 0 3 17:13 15
8 Metalul Buzau 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
9 Afumati 8 4 2 2 12:12 14
10 Cetatea Suceava 8 3 3 2 15:11 12
11 Gloria Bistrita 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
12 Metaloglobus Bucharest 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
13 FC ASA Tg. Mures 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
14 Ramnicu Valcea 8 3 2 3 10:13 11
15 FC Bihor 8 2 3 3 13:10 9
16 Selimbar 8 1 3 4 7:14 6
17 Steaua Bucuresti 9 1 3 5 10:18 6
18 Stefanesti 8 2 0 6 6:15 6
19 Unirea Slobozia 8 1 1 6 11:12 4
20 CSM Satu Mare 8 0 4 4 3:10 4
21 CSC Dumbravita 8 0 3 5 5:16 3
22 CS Din. Bucuresti 8 1 0 7 9:27 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)