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CSM Slatina vs Ceahlaul Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 2 2025/2026 May 1 Stadium, Slatina
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Munteanu V.
14' Event
Siafa O.
31'
Lapadatescu R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2025/2026 game between CSM Slatina and Ceahlaul finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
CSM Slatina
20%
Draws
6%
Ceahlaul
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSM Slatina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • CSM Slatina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CSM Slatina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
CSM Slatina Clean Sheet 68%
Ceahlaul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Slatina Ceahlaul
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 2
Draws 7 5
Losses 4 21
Goals Scored 2.04 0.64
Goals Conceded 0.89 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Liga 2
CSM Slatina vs Ceahlaul
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Liga 2
CSM Slatina vs Ceahlaul
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Liga 2
CSM Slatina vs Ceahlaul
0:0
Aug 10, 2024 Liga 2
Ceahlaul vs CSM Slatina
0:3
Nov 4, 2023 Liga 2
Ceahlaul vs CSM Slatina
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSM Slatina Compare

Top Goalscorer Siafa O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Ceahlaul Compare

Top Goalscorer Granja R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Slatina 95 / 100
Ceahlaul 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Slatina Ceahlaul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Slatina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Slatina found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Ceahlaul let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

CSM Slatina went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

CSM Slatina VS Ceahlaul
2 Goals Scored 0.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Slatina

(Home)
19 Sept
CSM Slatina
2 : 1
Selimbar
12 Sept
CSC Dumbravita
0 : 2
CSM Slatina
04 Sept
CSM Slatina
3 : 2
Chindia Targoviste
31 Aug
FC Bacau
0 : 0
CSM Slatina
22 Aug
CSM Slatina
2 : 0
Metalul Buzau
Page 1 of 6

Ceahlaul

(Away)
26 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 3
Aerostar
23 Sept
FC Bacau 2
1 : 0
Ceahlaul
19 Sept
Ceahlaul
1 : 1
Odorheiu
12 Sept
ACS USV Iasi
1 : 0
Ceahlaul
05 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 4
Bradul Putna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC ASA Tg. Mures 7 4 2 1 16:7 51
2 Metalul Buzau 7 6 0 1 16:6 50
3 CSM Slatina 7 5 2 0 13:4 43
4 Poli Iasi 7 3 1 3 7:6 41
5 Gloria Bistrita 7 2 2 3 10:8 34
6 CS Din. Bucuresti 7 3 0 4 9:10 25
7 Ceahlaul 7 0 2 5 4:19 20
8 Campulung 7 0 1 6 4:19 11
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bacau 7 3 0 4 7:11 42
2 Concordia 7 4 2 1 10:5 41
3 CSM Resita 7 2 1 4 6:10 40
4 Afumati 7 2 1 4 8:9 37
5 CSC Dumbravita 7 2 1 4 6:7 32
6 Selimbar 7 3 1 3 8:9 30
7 CSM Satu Mare 7 4 2 1 16:9 28
8 Tunari 7 3 2 2 9:10 27
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)