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CSM Targu Jiu vs Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 6
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 6 game between CSM Targu Jiu and Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSM Targu Jiu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
CSM Targu Jiu
6%
Draws
4%
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CSM Targu Jiu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • CSM Targu Jiu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on CSM Targu Jiu taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CSM Targu Jiu here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CSM Targu Jiu Clean Sheet 20%
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Targu Jiu Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 2
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 1.38 0.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti vs CSM Targu Jiu
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 6
CSM Targu Jiu vs Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti vs CSM Targu Jiu
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Targu Jiu 85 / 100
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Targu Jiu Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

CSM Targu Jiu's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

CSM Targu Jiu has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CSM Targu Jiu VS Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti
1.38 Goals Scored 0.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ramnicu Valcea22165155:2053
2Minerul Lupeni22124633:2340
3Farcasesti22115652:4138
4Jiul Petrosani22107535:2237
5ACS Medias22114747:3537
6Pausesti-Otasau22931030:4330
7Inter Sibiu22841031:3528
8Muscelul Muscel2269734:3327
9CSM Targu Jiu2276926:3327
10Unirea Bascov22651133:3723
11Viitorul Daesti22291131:4715
12Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti22231715:539