Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSM Vaslui vs ACS USV Iasi

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Liga 3 - Seria 1 encounter between CSM Vaslui and ACS USV Iasi promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. CSM Vaslui averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded in recent matches. ACS USV Iasi shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 4 wins for CSM Vaslui, 0 wins for ACS USV Iasi, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 25.04.26 ended in a 2:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.63 for CSM Vaslui and 1.25 for ACS USV Iasi, suggesting the primary value lies in the CSM Vaslui double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
CSM Vaslui
24%
Draws
32%
ACS USV Iasi
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: CSM Vaslui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • CSM Vaslui picked up more points recently compared to ACS USV Iasi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
CSM Vaslui Clean Sheet 19%
ACS USV Iasi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Vaslui ACS USV Iasi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.4 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

25.04.26 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Vaslui vs ACS USV Iasi
2:2
29.11.25 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Vaslui vs ACS USV Iasi
7:1
19.09.25 Liga 3 - Seria 1
ACS USV Iasi vs CSM Vaslui
0:2
24.05.25 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Vaslui vs ACS USV Iasi
3:1
18.04.25 Liga 3 - Seria 1
ACS USV Iasi vs CSM Vaslui
0:3

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

CSM Vaslui

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

ACS USV Iasi

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Vaslui 43 / 100
ACS USV Iasi 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Vaslui ACS USV Iasi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CSM Vaslui or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

CSM Vaslui 48%
ACS USV Iasi 26%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

CSM Vaslui 42%
ACS USV Iasi 34%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

CSM Vaslui 44%
ACS USV Iasi 32%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

CSM Vaslui 46%
ACS USV Iasi 30%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

CSM Vaslui 40%
ACS USV Iasi 35%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

CSM Vaslui 51%
ACS USV Iasi 37%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSM Vaslui attacking → ← attacking ACS USV Iasi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Vaslui have found the net in 70% of their last 30 matches.

ACS USV Iasi have conceded at least one goal in 90% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.20 goals per match.

CSM Vaslui remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

ACS USV Iasi suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 37
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Soimii Gura Humorului22172355:1253
2Cetatea Suceava22152558:2447
3Viitorul Onesti22106634:2236
4Stiinta Miroslava22113830:3336
5CSM Vaslui2286829:2830
6Odorheiu2286833:3530
7Bucovina Radauti2285929:2729
8ACS USV Iasi22841028:4628
9Aerostar22741126:4325
10VSK Gyergyo22731229:4324
11Adjud22561114:2421
12FC Bacau 222331627:5512