Sport Picks

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CSP vs Campinense

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Alex Oliveira
75' Event
Daniel Passira
83'
Escuro

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2023 game between CSP and Campinense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
CSP
15%
Draws
37%
Campinense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Campinense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CSP's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CSP Clean Sheet 68%
Campinense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSP Campinense
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Paraibano
Campinense vs CSP
0:1
Feb 1, 2023 Paraibano
CSP vs Campinense
1:1
Mar 30, 2022 Paraibano
Campinense vs CSP
4:2
Feb 6, 2022 Paraibano
CSP vs Campinense
1:2
Feb 18, 2018 Paraibano
CSP vs Campinense
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSP Compare

Top Goalscorer Alex Oliveira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Campinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Passira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSP 50 / 100
Campinense 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSP Campinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CSP scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Campinense let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CSP remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Campinense
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CSP

(Home)
16 Mar
Nacional PB
1 : 2
CSP
09 Mar
CSP
1 : 2
Treze PB
05 Mar
CSP
0 : 2
Serra Branca
01 Mar
Sao Paulo Crystal
0 : 3
CSP
25 Feb
Campinense
0 : 1
CSP
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Campinense

(Away)
08 Mar
Campinense
0 : 2
Sousa
28 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
Campinense
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
18 Feb
Campinense
1 : 1
Sousa
14 Feb
Campinense
1 : 0
Serra Branca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:4 20
2 Treze PB 9 4 3 2 11:7 15
3 Sao Paulo Crystal 9 4 3 2 7:6 15
4 Botafogo PB 9 3 6 0 11:6 15
5 Nacional PB 9 4 2 3 11:8 14
6 Campinense 9 3 5 1 8:6 14
7 CSP 9 2 3 4 9:13 9
8 Serra Branca 9 1 6 2 8:11 9
9 Queimadense 9 0 4 5 6:13 4
10 Auto Esporte 9 0 2 7 7:18 2
Promotion - Paraibano 2023 (Play Offs)