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CSP vs Serra Branca Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2023
CSP Logo

CSP

1 - 1
FT
Serra Branca Logo

Serra Branca

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Alex Oliveira
67' Event
Iago Leite
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paraibano 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
CSP
20%
Draws
38%
Serra Branca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Serra Branca lately — more wins on the board than CSP.
  • Model gives CSP a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
CSP Clean Sheet 20%
Serra Branca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSP Serra Branca
Matches Played 29 41
Wins 9 19
Draws 6 14
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.34 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.98
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2024 Paraibano
CSP vs Serra Branca
0:2
Feb 6, 2023 Paraibano
CSP vs Serra Branca
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSP Compare

Top Goalscorer Alex Oliveira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Serra Branca Compare

Top Goalscorer Iago Leite
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSP 42 / 100
Serra Branca 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSP Serra Branca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CSP scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Serra Branca conceded in 66% of 41 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: CSP remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Serra Branca
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSP

(Home)
16 Mar
Nacional PB
1 : 2
CSP
09 Mar
CSP
1 : 2
Treze PB
05 Mar
CSP
0 : 2
Serra Branca
01 Mar
Sao Paulo Crystal
0 : 3
CSP
25 Feb
Campinense
0 : 1
CSP
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Serra Branca

(Away)
12 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Serra Branca
04 Jul
Serra Branca
0 : 1
Uberlandia
28 Jun
Juazeirense
0 : 1
Serra Branca
21 Jun
Serra Branca
2 : 0
Juazeirense
14 Jun
Sergipe
1 : 1
Serra Branca
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:4 20
2 Treze PB 9 4 3 2 11:7 15
3 Sao Paulo Crystal 9 4 3 2 7:6 15
4 Botafogo PB 9 3 6 0 11:6 15
5 Nacional PB 9 4 2 3 11:8 14
6 Campinense 9 3 5 1 8:6 14
7 CSP 9 2 3 4 9:13 9
8 Serra Branca 9 1 6 2 8:11 9
9 Queimadense 9 0 4 5 6:13 4
10 Auto Esporte 9 0 2 7 7:18 2
Promotion - Paraibano 2023 (Play Offs)