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Stadium Background

CSP vs Sousa

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2024
1 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2024 game between CSP and Sousa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
CSP
15%
Draws
26%
Sousa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sousa come out ahead of CSP on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CSP's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
CSP Clean Sheet 68%
Sousa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSP Sousa
Matches Played 29 47
Wins 9 22
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.34 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2025 Paraibano
CSP vs Sousa
0:0
Feb 6, 2024 Paraibano
CSP vs Sousa
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 Paraibano
Sousa vs CSP
4:1
Mar 17, 2019 Paraibano
Sousa vs CSP
1:1
Feb 3, 2019 Paraibano
CSP vs Sousa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSP 86 / 100
Sousa 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSP Sousa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSP scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Sousa has conceded goals in 62% of their last 47 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: CSP remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sousa
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CSP

(Home)
16 Mar
Nacional PB
1 : 2
CSP
09 Mar
CSP
1 : 2
Treze PB
05 Mar
CSP
0 : 2
Serra Branca
01 Mar
Sao Paulo Crystal
0 : 3
CSP
25 Feb
Campinense
0 : 1
CSP
Page 1 of 6

Sousa

(Away)
14 Jun
Sousa
0 : 2
America RN
01 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Sousa
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
16 May
ABC
2 : 0
Sousa
10 May
Laguna RN
0 : 1
Sousa
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treze PB 9 7 0 2 18:6 21
2 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
3 Botafogo PB 9 5 2 2 13:9 17
4 Sousa 9 4 2 3 11:6 14
5 CSP 9 4 1 4 10:9 13
6 Campinense 9 3 2 4 6:10 11
7 Nacional PB 9 3 1 5 7:10 10
8 Pombal 9 3 1 5 10:14 10
9 Sao Paulo Crystal 9 1 1 7 4:22 4
10 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 3 2 4 8:8 -2
Promotion - Paraibano 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 2025 (Main)