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CT United FC vs New England Revolution II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro Morrone Stadium, Storrs, CT
CT United FC Logo

CT United FC

1 - 2
FT
New England Revolution II Logo

New England Revolution II

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Rankenburg G.
Own Goal
32'
Sserwadda S.
37'
Wells M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between CT United FC and New England Revolution II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New England Revolution II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
CT United FC
15%
Draws
42%
New England Revolution II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CT United FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New England Revolution II come out ahead of CT United FC on wins alone.
  • CT United FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • New England Revolution II have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
CT United FC Clean Sheet 10%
New England Revolution II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CT United FC New England Revolution II
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 0 0
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2.18 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 MLS Next Pro
CT United FC vs New England Revolution II
1:2
May 3, 2026 MLS Next Pro
CT United FC vs New England Revolution II
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs CT United FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CT United FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Caua Paixao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

New England Revolution II Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CT United FC 47 / 100
New England Revolution II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CT United FC New England Revolution II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CT United FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CT United FC scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

New England Revolution II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: New England Revolution II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CT United FC VS New England Revolution II
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

CT United FC

(Home)
20 Sept
CT United FC
7 : 2
Inter Miami II
13 Sept
New York City II
1 : 0
CT United FC
08 Sept
Atlanta United 2
4 : 1
CT United FC
29 Aug
CT United FC
2 : 4
New York Red Bulls II
23 Aug
Philadelphia Union II
2 : 4
CT United FC
Page 1 of 6

New England Revolution II

(Away)
20 Sept
Toronto FC II
1 : 3
New England Revolution II
13 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
1 : 2
New England Revolution II
04 Sept
Carolina Core
3 : 2
New England Revolution II
30 Aug
New England Revolution II
1 : 4
Huntsville City
22 Aug
New York City II
2 : 1
New England Revolution II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)