Sport Picks
CT United FC vs Philadelphia Union II
USA
MLS Next Pro Morrone Stadium, Storrs, CT 
Match Events
19'
19'
Caua Paixao
Assist: Monis A.
37'
37'
Davis III E.
Assist: Korzeniowski S.
62'
62'
Korzeniowski S.
Assist: Berthe M.
AI Match Summary
The MLS Next Pro game between CT United FC and Philadelphia Union II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philadelphia Union II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CT United FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Philadelphia Union II come out ahead of CT United FC on wins alone.
- Model gives CT United FC a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
CT United FC Clean Sheet 18%
Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CT United FC | Philadelphia Union II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 19 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.63 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 MLS Next Pro
CT United FC vs Philadelphia Union II
1:2
Mar 15, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs CT United FC
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CT United FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Caua Paixao
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Philadelphia Union II Compare
Top Goalscorer Davis III E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Korzeniowski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CT United FC 85 / 100
Philadelphia Union II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CT United FC Philadelphia Union II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CT United FC found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (19 games).
Defensive concern: Philadelphia Union II conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: CT United FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CT United FC VS Philadelphia Union II
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CT United FC
(Home) 26 Jul
CT United FC
2 : 1 Columbus Crew 2
19 Jul
CT United FC
2 : 1 New York Red Bulls II
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2 Toronto FC II
05 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 1 Carolina Core
26 Jun
CT United FC
1 : 4 New York City II
Page 1 of 4
26 Jul
CT United FC
2 : 1 Columbus Crew 2
19 Jul
CT United FC
2 : 1 New York Red Bulls II
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2 Toronto FC II
05 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 1 Carolina Core
26 Jun
CT United FC
1 : 4 New York City II
Page 1 of 2
Philadelphia Union II
(Away) 25 Jul
Chattanooga
4 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
18 Jul
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
12 Jul
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0 Huntsville City
05 Jul
New England Revolution II
0 : 4 Philadelphia Union II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
Page 1 of 7
25 Jul
Chattanooga
4 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
18 Jul
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
05 Jul
New England Revolution II
0 : 4 Philadelphia Union II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
21 Jun
Orlando City B
1 : 2 Philadelphia Union II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 20 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 36:31 | 39 |
| 2 | New England Revolution II | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 28:22 | 36 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 40:32 | 32 |
| 4 | CT United FC | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 35:33 | 31 |
| 5 | New York City II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:29 | 28 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 20 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 21:27 | 26 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 20 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 31:38 | 25 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 19:36 | 16 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 47:27 | 40 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 39:30 | 37 |
| 3 | Orlando City B | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 40:34 | 35 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 41:30 | 33 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 34:28 | 30 |
| 6 | Huntsville City | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 32:35 | 28 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 21 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 27:37 | 21 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 18 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 16:46 | 8 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 26:23 | 40 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 37:27 | 35 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 31 |
| 4 | Tacoma Defiance | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 25:27 | 30 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 37:23 | 28 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 31:36 | 26 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 26:45 | 19 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 41:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 40:16 | 42 |
| 3 | St. Louis City 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 31:33 | 30 |
| 4 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 5 | North Texas | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 29:23 | 26 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 18:39 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 47:27 | 40 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew 2 | 20 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 36:31 | 39 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 39:30 | 37 |
| 4 | New England Revolution II | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 28:22 | 36 |
| 5 | Orlando City B | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 40:34 | 35 |
| 6 | Atlanta United 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 41:30 | 33 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls II | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 40:32 | 32 |
| 8 | CT United FC | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 35:33 | 31 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 34:28 | 30 |
| 10 | New York City II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:29 | 28 |
| 11 | Huntsville City | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 32:35 | 28 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union II | 20 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 21:27 | 26 |
| 13 | Toronto FC II | 20 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 31:38 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 21 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 27:37 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 19:36 | 16 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 18 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 16:46 | 8 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 41:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 40:16 | 42 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers 2 | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 26:23 | 40 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 37:27 | 35 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 31 |
| 6 | Tacoma Defiance | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 25:27 | 30 |
| 7 | St. Louis City 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 31:33 | 30 |
| 8 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 37:23 | 28 |
| 10 | North Texas | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 29:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 31:36 | 26 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 26:45 | 19 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 18:39 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
