Sport Picks
CT United FC vs Toronto FC II
USA
MLS Next Pro Morrone Stadium, Storrs, CT 
Match Events
8'
8'
Boneau B.
15'
15'
Applewhaite A.
25'
25'
Gomez E.
AI Match Summary
Toronto FC II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toronto FC II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: CT United FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Toronto FC II lately — more wins on the board than CT United FC.
- Model gives CT United FC a 50% chance of winning this.
- Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
- History favors CT United FC here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
CT United FC Clean Sheet 14%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CT United FC | Toronto FC II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 18 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.75 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 MLS Next Pro
CT United FC vs Toronto FC II
3:2
Jun 14, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs CT United FC
2:4
May 16, 2026 MLS Next Pro
CT United FC vs Toronto FC II
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CT United FC Compare
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38
Toronto FC II Compare
Top Goalscorer Nue-Brito D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Khodri E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CT United FC 48 / 100
Toronto FC II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CT United FC Toronto FC II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CT United FC's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 18 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.
Toronto FC II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Recent resilience: CT United FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CT United FC VS Toronto FC II
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
CT United FC
(Home) 19 Jul
CT United FC
2 : 1 New York Red Bulls II
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2 Toronto FC II
05 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 1 Carolina Core
26 Jun
CT United FC
1 : 4 New York City II
18 Jun
CT United FC
4 : 0 FC Cincinnati 2
Page 1 of 4
19 Jul
CT United FC
2 : 1 New York Red Bulls II
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2 Toronto FC II
05 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 1 Carolina Core
26 Jun
CT United FC
1 : 4 New York City II
18 Jun
CT United FC
4 : 0 FC Cincinnati 2
Page 1 of 2
Toronto FC II
(Away) 17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati 2
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2 Toronto FC II
04 Jul
Atlanta United 2
1 : 0 Toronto FC II
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3 New England Revolution II
21 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Toronto FC II
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2 Toronto FC II
04 Jul
Atlanta United 2
1 : 0 Toronto FC II
21 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Toronto FC II
25 May
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 3 Toronto FC II
16 May
CT United FC
0 : 2 Toronto FC II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 2 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 26:20 | 35 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 40:32 | 32 |
| 4 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 5 | New York City II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 27:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 47:27 | 40 |
| 2 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 26:32 | 21 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14:45 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 25:44 | 17 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 40:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 5 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 47:27 | 40 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 26:20 | 35 |
| 4 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 5 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 6 | New York Red Bulls II | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 40:32 | 32 |
| 7 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 8 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 9 | New York City II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 27:26 | 28 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 26:32 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14:45 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 40:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 5 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 6 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 11 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 25:44 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)