Sport Picks
CU Micaelense vs Maritimo Graciosa
Portugal
Taça de Portugal 2007/2008 
AI Match Summary
CU Micaelense in this Taça de Portugal 2007/2008 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
15%
47%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maritimo Graciosa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to CU Micaelense lately — more wins on the board than Maritimo Graciosa.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Maritimo Graciosa taking it.
- CU Micaelense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor CU Micaelense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
CU Micaelense Clean Sheet 20%
Maritimo Graciosa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CU Micaelense | Maritimo Graciosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 13 | 4 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 0.85 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.15 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2007 Taça de Portugal
CU Micaelense vs Maritimo Graciosa
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CU Micaelense 16 / 100
Maritimo Graciosa 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CU Micaelense Maritimo Graciosa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CU Micaelense found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (13 games).
Maritimo Graciosa let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.
Maritimo Graciosa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
CU Micaelense VS Maritimo Graciosa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CU Micaelense
(Home) 24 Sept
Moncarapachense
6 : 2 CU Micaelense
10 Sept
CU Micaelense
1 : 0 GD Alcochetense
28 Aug
CU Micaelense
0 : 3 Camara de Lobos
05 Sept
Pinhalnovense
5 : 0 CU Micaelense
30 Aug
Fiaes
2 : 1 CU Micaelense
Page 1 of 3
10 Sept
CU Micaelense
1 : 0 GD Alcochetense
28 Aug
CU Micaelense
0 : 3 Camara de Lobos
18 Nov
CU Micaelense
0 : 1 Valdevez
23 Sept
CU Micaelense
1 : 0 Maritimo Graciosa
02 Sept
CU Micaelense
1 : 0 SC Praiense
Maritimo Graciosa
(Away) 08 Sept
SC Angrense
3 : 0 Maritimo Graciosa
16 Sept
Pedras Rubras
4 : 0 Maritimo Graciosa
23 Sept
CU Micaelense
1 : 0 Maritimo Graciosa
02 Sept
Velense
0 : 2 Maritimo Graciosa
08 Sept
SC Angrense
3 : 0 Maritimo Graciosa
16 Sept
Pedras Rubras
4 : 0 Maritimo Graciosa
23 Sept
CU Micaelense
1 : 0 Maritimo Graciosa
02 Sept
Velense
0 : 2 Maritimo Graciosa
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Porto 2
Chaves 0
Real SC 0
Aves 1
Penafiel 2
Vizela 1
Portimonense 1
Sertanense 2
Leixoes 4
Torreense 0
Freamunde 0
Anadia 1
Juv. Evora 2
Infesta 1
Messinense 0
Gil Vicente 2
Naval 3
Serzedelo 0
TBD -
Boavista -
Olhanense 2
Carregado 1
Rebordosa 1
Rio Ave 6
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Atletico CP 0
Cova De Piedade 0
Nacional 5
Leiria 2
Nelas 0
Operario 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Benfica 3
Academica 1
SC Lusitania 1
Feirense 4
Abrantes 1
Monsanto 0
BSAD 2
Pacos Ferreira 3
Valdevez 1
CU Micaelense 0
Social Lamas 1
Tocha 2
Beira Mar 1
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Machico 0
Moreirense 4
Estrela da Amadora -
TBD -
UD Rio Maior 1
Fatima 2
Camacha 1
Sanjoanense 0
TBD -
Braga -
Maritimo -
TBD -
Mondinense 0
Oliveirense 4
Lagoa 3
Santa Clara 2
Louletano 0
Sporting CP 4
1/16-finals
FC Porto 2
Aves 0
Penafiel 1
Sertanense 2
Leixoes 1
Anadia 0
Juv. Evora 0
Gil Vicente 3
Naval 4
Boavista 1
Olhanense 3
Rio Ave 4
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Nacional 0
Leiria 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Benfica 1
Feirense 0
Abrantes 0
Pacos Ferreira 4
Valdevez 3
Tocha 1
Beira Mar 0
Moreirense 1
Estrela da Amadora 4
Fatima 2
Camacha 2
Braga 3
Maritimo 1
Oliveirense 0
Lagoa 0
Sporting CP 4
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Sertanense 0
Leixoes 0
Gil Vicente 1
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Benfica 4
Pacos Ferreira 1
Valdevez 0
Moreirense 3
Estrela da Amadora 1
Braga 0
Maritimo 1
Sporting CP 2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 1
Gil Vicente 0
Naval 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Benfica 2
Moreirense 0
Estrela da Amadora 0
Sporting CP 1
Semi-finals
FC Porto 3
Vitoria Setubal 0
Benfica 3
Sporting CP 5
Final
FC Porto 0
Sporting CP 2
