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Cuba U17 W vs Haiti U17 W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women U17 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cuba U17 W play Haiti U17 W in the CONCACAF Championship Women U17 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cuba U17 W averaged 2.27 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. Haiti U17 W averaged 2.71 goals scored and 2.42 conceded. In past meetings, Cuba U17 W won 0, Haiti U17 W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 29, 2023 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.19 for Cuba U17 W and 2.38 for Haiti U17 W. This points to a Haiti U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Cuba U17 W
15%
Draws
47%
Haiti U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haiti U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Cuba U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Haiti U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.19 vs 2.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 98%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Cuba U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Haiti U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 88%
Second Half Goal 93%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuba U17 W Haiti U17 W
Matches Played 15 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 1 1
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.27 2.71
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2023 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Cuba U17 W vs Haiti U17 W
0:6
Apr 24, 2022 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Haiti U17 W vs Cuba U17 W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cuba U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Haiti U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Etienne L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nazon P.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuba U17 W 36 / 100
Haiti U17 W 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuba U17 W Haiti U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Haiti U17 W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cuba U17 W attacking → ← attacking Haiti U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cuba U17 W scored in 67% of their last 15 games.

Haiti U17 W let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Cuba U17 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Haiti U17 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 49
3.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1El Salvador U17 W330025:09
2Trinidad & Tobago U17 W32019:66
3Cayman Islands U17 W31021:163
4Curacao U17 W30030:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Haiti U17 W220018:06
2Cuba U17 W21016:63
3Barbados U17 W20020:180
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Costa Rica U17 W22007:16
2Guatemala U17 W20021:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Puerto Rico U17 W330013:29
2Nicaragua U17 W311112:34
3Honduras U17 W31117:34
4United States Virgin Islands U17 W30030:240
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Panama U17 W21102:14
2Jamaica U17 W20111:21
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Canada U17 W220030:06
2Bermuda U17 W21014:103
3Dominica U17 W20021:250