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Stadium Background

Cuba U21 vs Costa Rica U21

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games Estadio Complejo Deportivo Moca 85, Moca
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Match Events

27' Event
Raballo A.
Assist: Campos M.
51'
Salazar E.
51'
Salazar E.

AI Match Summary

The Central American & Caribbean Games game between Cuba U21 and Costa Rica U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cuba U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Cuba U21
11%
Draws
9%
Costa Rica U21
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Cuba U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Costa Rica U21 come out ahead of Cuba U21 on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Cuba U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Cuba U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Costa Rica U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuba U21 Costa Rica U21
Matches Played 12 24
Wins 4 12
Draws 3 2
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games
Cuba U21 vs Costa Rica U21
1:0
Nov 19, 2014 Central American & Caribbean Games
Costa Rica U21 vs Cuba U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cuba U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Raballo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Costa Rica U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuba U21 76 / 100
Costa Rica U21 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuba U21 Costa Rica U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cuba U21's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Defensive concern: Costa Rica U21 conceded in 75% of 24 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Cuba U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cuba U21 VS Costa Rica U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuba U21

(Home)
01 Aug
Colombia U21
1 : 0
Cuba U21
30 Jul
Cuba U21
1 : 0
Costa Rica U21
28 Nov
Cuba U21
3 : 1
Honduras U21
27 Nov
Mexico U21
2 : 1
Cuba U21
24 Nov
Cuba U21
0 : 0
Venezuela U21
Page 1 of 3

Costa Rica U21

(Away)
01 Aug
Costa Rica U21
0 : 3
Panama U21
30 Jul
Cuba U21
1 : 0
Costa Rica U21
24 Jul
Costa Rica U21
1 : 2
Honduras U21
22 Jul
Costa Rica U21
3 : 2
Trinidad & Tobago U21
21 Jul
Colombia U21
1 : 0
Costa Rica U21
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U21 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Venezuela U21 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Dominican Republic U21 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Guatemala U21 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U21 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Panama U21 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Cuba U21 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Costa Rica U21 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games (Play Offs)