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Cuba vs Grenada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League
Mon, Nov 16, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cuba host Grenada in the CONCACAF Nations League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Cuba at 1.31 goals for, 1.66 against; Grenada at 1.28 for, 2 against. Past meetings favor Cuba slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 25, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.00, favoring Cuba. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Cuba
30%
Draws
18%
Grenada
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cuba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cuba lately — more wins on the board than Grenada.
  • Cuba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Cuba Clean Sheet 20%
Grenada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuba Grenada
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.31 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.66 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Grenada vs Cuba
0:3
Oct 11, 2025 Friendly International
Grenada vs Cuba
2:0
Oct 13, 2018 CONCACAF Nations League
Grenada vs Cuba
0:2
Dec 5, 2010 Caribbean Cup
Grenada vs Cuba
0:1
Nov 30, 2010 Caribbean Cup
Cuba vs Grenada
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuba 85 / 100
Grenada 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuba Grenada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cuba went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Cuba's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Grenada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cuba VS Grenada
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuba

(Home)
05 Oct
Cuba
2 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
02 Oct
Saint Kitts and Nevis
3 : 3
Cuba
28 Sept
Cuba
2 : 0
Bonaire
25 Sept
Grenada
0 : 3
Cuba
29 Mar
Dominican Republic
1 : 1
Cuba
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Grenada

(Away)
06 Oct
Grenada
1 : 4
Bonaire
03 Oct
Bonaire
2 : 3
Grenada
29 Sept
Saint Kitts and Nevis
3 : 0
Grenada
25 Sept
Grenada
0 : 3
Cuba
16 May
Ireland
5 : 0
Grenada
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