Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cuba vs Nicaragua

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Antonio Maceo Stadium, Santiago de Cuba
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Diaz D.
34'
Sub
Acuna Alvarez A. J. In: Medina H.
Out: Acuna Alvarez A. J.
35'
Perez K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cuba
30%
Draws
23%
Nicaragua
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cuba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cuba haven't matched Nicaragua's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Cuba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Cuba Clean Sheet 68%
Nicaragua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuba Nicaragua
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Cuba vs Nicaragua
1:1
Mar 27, 2024 Friendly International
Nicaragua vs Cuba
0:1
Nov 14, 2021 Friendly International
Nicaragua vs Cuba
2:0
Nov 11, 2021 Friendly International
Nicaragua vs Cuba
0:3
Oct 11, 2021 Friendly International
Nicaragua vs Cuba
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cuba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Nicaragua Compare

Top Goalscorer Talavera W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuba 95 / 100
Nicaragua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuba Nicaragua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cuba scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Nicaragua conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Cuba went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cuba VS Nicaragua
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuba

(Home)
29 Mar
Dominican Republic
1 : 1
Cuba
26 Mar
Martinique
2 : 2
Cuba
16 Nov
Martinique
0 : 2
Cuba
12 Nov
Cuba
3 : 0
Saint Lucia
11 Oct
Grenada
2 : 0
Cuba
Page 1 of 6

Nicaragua

(Away)
05 Jun
Paraguay
4 : 0
Nicaragua
29 May
South Africa
0 : 0
Nicaragua
27 Mar
Russia
3 : 1
Nicaragua
19 Nov
Haiti
2 : 0
Nicaragua
14 Nov
Nicaragua
2 : 0
Honduras
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
2 Suriname 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
3 Guatemala 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
4 Martinique 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
5 Guadeloupe 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
6 Guyana 4 0 1 3 5:13 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
2 Honduras 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
3 Nicaragua 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
4 Trinidad & Tobago 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
5 Cuba 4 0 3 1 4:6 3
6 French Guiana 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)