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Cuba vs Saint Kitts and Nevis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Hasely Crawford Stadium, Port of Spain
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Match Events

16' Event
Williams T.
Assist: Kelly K.
25' Event
Perez Y. Y.
Assist: Reyes D.
26'
Camejo M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cuba
35%
Draws
36%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Saint Kitts and Nevis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Saint Kitts and Nevis have won more games recently than Cuba.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Cuba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cuba Clean Sheet 10%
Saint Kitts and Nevis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuba Saint Kitts and Nevis
Matches Played 36 37
Wins 13 17
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.28 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Cuba vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
2:2
Oct 2, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba
3:3
Nov 18, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Cuba vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
4:0
Nov 14, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba
2:1
May 18, 2001 Caribbean Cup
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cuba Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez Y. Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Saint Kitts and Nevis Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuba 47 / 100
Saint Kitts and Nevis 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuba Saint Kitts and Nevis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Cuba has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Cuba scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Defensive concern: Saint Kitts and Nevis conceded in 78% of 37 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cuba VS Saint Kitts and Nevis
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuba

(Home)
05 Oct
Cuba
2 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
02 Oct
Saint Kitts and Nevis
3 : 3
Cuba
28 Sept
Cuba
2 : 0
Bonaire
25 Sept
Grenada
0 : 3
Cuba
29 Mar
Dominican Republic
1 : 1
Cuba
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Saint Kitts and Nevis

(Away)
05 Oct
Cuba
2 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
02 Oct
Saint Kitts and Nevis
3 : 3
Cuba
29 Sept
Saint Kitts and Nevis
3 : 0
Grenada
26 Sept
Bonaire
1 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
30 Mar
Saint Kitts and Nevis
4 : 2
Solomon Islands
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