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Cuba W vs Saint Lucia W Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Nunez E.
14' Event
Nunez E.
38' Event
Espinosa E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cuba W
15%
Draws
0%
Saint Lucia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cuba W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Cuba W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Cuba W taking it.
  • Cuba W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cuba W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cuba W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Cuba W Clean Sheet 68%
Saint Lucia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuba W Saint Lucia W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 3 2
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 2.37 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.43 3.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Cuba W vs Saint Lucia W
4:1
Sep 22, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Saint Lucia W vs Cuba W
1:2
Oct 8, 2019 Olympic Games Women
Cuba W vs Saint Lucia W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cuba W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Espinosa E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Saint Lucia W Compare

Top Goalscorer John R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuba W 95 / 100
Saint Lucia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuba W Saint Lucia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuba W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Lucia W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Saint Lucia W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Cuba W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Cuba W VS Saint Lucia W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuba W

(Home)
18 Apr
Panama W
3 : 0
Cuba W
08 Mar
Aruba W
0 : 1
Cuba W
01 Mar
Cuba W
3 : 0
Curacao W
02 Dec
Cuba W
2 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis W
08 Apr
Peru W
3 : 2
Cuba W
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Saint Lucia W

(Away)
18 Apr
Saint Lucia W
0 : 1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W
02 Mar
Saint Lucia W
0 : 7
Mexico W
01 Dec
Puerto Rico W
7 : 0
Saint Lucia W
27 Nov
United States Virgin Islands W
3 : 1
Saint Lucia W
21 Sept
Saint Lucia W
1 : 2
Barbados W
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